{"id":919,"date":"2020-01-30T17:45:35","date_gmt":"2020-01-30T16:45:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?p=919"},"modified":"2020-01-30T17:56:51","modified_gmt":"2020-01-30T16:56:51","slug":"koronavirus-investice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/koronavirus-investice\/","title":{"rendered":"Skute\u010dn\u00fd dopad koronaviru na investice"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/nIgATvMnYoQ?rel=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;autoplay=1&amp;modestbranding=1\" width=\"720\" height=\"405\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" allow=\"autoplay\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2>P\u0159epis videa<\/h2>\n<p>Koronavirus vl\u00e1dne trh\u016fm. Ty v pond\u011bl\u00ed ztratily nejv\u00edce od \u0159\u00edjna minul\u00e9ho roku. 1,5 %<\/p>\n<p>Moje jm\u00e9no je Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl a v dne\u0161n\u00edm videu bych cht\u011bl hovo\u0159it o titulc\u00edch, emoc\u00edch a investov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Pr\u00e1v\u011b koronavirus je zaj\u00edmav\u00fd t\u00edm, \u017ee zase rozv\u00ed\u0159il vody. <\/p>\n<p>Kdybychom \u010detli titulky, m\u016f\u017ee se n\u00e1m zd\u00e1t, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o n\u011bjak\u00e9 velk\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>200 mrtv\u00fdch. V \u010c\u00edn\u011b uzav\u0159eli m\u011bsto, kde se n\u00e1kaza \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed. Odchyt\u00e1vaj\u00ed se pasa\u017e\u00e9\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed m\u016f\u017eou cestovat. A mohou nakazit dal\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 v\u011bc. Je pot\u0159eba n\u00e1kazu podchytit. Zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby se v dne\u0161n\u00ed dob\u011b, kdy hodn\u011b doch\u00e1z\u00ed k transportu osob, zbo\u017e\u00ed a tak podobn\u011b, aby se vir d\u00e1le \u0161\u00ed\u0159il.<\/p>\n<p>Na druhou stranu, kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na n\u011bjak\u00e1 fakta. Pod\u00edv\u00e1me se na to, jak\u00fd je vlastn\u011b ten medi\u00e1ln\u00ed obraz, tak se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t, \u017ee z medi\u00e1ln\u00edho obrazu bychom mohli podobn\u00e9 hrozby p\u0159ece\u0148ovat.<\/p>\n<p>Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b je n\u011bjak\u00fdch 200 mrtv\u00fdch, co se t\u00fd\u010de koronaviru. <\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me t\u0159eba na prase\u010d\u00ed ch\u0159ipku, kter\u00e1 \u0159\u00e1dila v roce 2009, tak tam vlastn\u011b ty smrti dos\u00e1hly n\u011bjak\u00e9ho \u010d\u00edsla 15 tis\u00edc. Co\u017e je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b hrozn\u00e9. Na druhou stranu, abychom se pod\u00edvali a m\u011bli n\u011bjakou re\u00e1lnou p\u0159edstavu, je dobr\u00e9 se pod\u00edvat, jak\u00e9 po\u010dty \u00famrt\u00ed jsou t\u0159eba u b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 ch\u0159ipky.<\/p>\n<p>Na b\u011b\u017enou ch\u0159ipku, celosv\u011btov\u011b, zem\u0159e ro\u010dn\u011b 300 a\u017e 600 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed. To je daleko, daleko v\u00edce, ne\u017e v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b podobn\u00fdch nemoc\u00ed. <\/p>\n<p>A p\u0159esto nem\u016f\u017eeme koukat na titulky, kter\u00e9 by na to neust\u00e1le upozor\u0148ovaly. Proto\u017ee je to n\u011bco, co se d\u011bje ka\u017ed\u00fd rok. Norm\u00e1ln\u011b. Nen\u00ed to tak zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, jako n\u011bjak\u00e1 nov\u00e1 n\u00e1kaza. <\/p>\n<p>Podobn\u011b t\u0159eba na tuberkul\u00f3zu zem\u0159e ro\u010dn\u011b 1,5 milionu lid\u00ed.  A ur\u010dit\u011b t\u011bmto nemocem nen\u00ed d\u00e1no zdaleka tolik medi\u00e1ln\u00edho prostoru, kolik by odpov\u00eddalo vzhledem k tomu, jak\u00e1 je \u00famrtnost. Nebo kolik lid\u00ed ro\u010dn\u011b zem\u0159e na tyto choroby.<\/p>\n<p>Co se teda z toho odn\u00e9st ohledn\u011b investov\u00e1n\u00ed?<\/p>\n<p>V investov\u00e1n\u00ed samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nen\u00ed dobr\u00e9 se nechat podobn\u00fdmi situacemi rozhodit.<\/p>\n<p>M\u016f\u017eeme se setk\u00e1vat s t\u00edm, \u017ee titulky budou v\u017edycky pln\u011bn\u00e9 n\u011bjak\u00fdmi aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmi ud\u00e1lostmi.<\/p>\n<p>Plat\u00ed tak\u00e9, \u017ee strach dob\u0159e prod\u00e1v\u00e1. Proto se m\u016f\u017eeme setk\u00e1vat s titulky, kter\u00e9 zveli\u010duj\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 hrozby. P\u00ed\u0161ou o n\u011bjak\u00fdch hrozb\u00e1ch. D\u016fsledky takov\u00fdch v\u011bc\u00ed na trhy ale b\u00fdvaj\u00ed velmi kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Vid\u011bl jsem n\u011bjak\u00e9 statistiky, kter\u00e9 ukazovaly posledn\u00edch n\u011bjak\u00fdch 6 podobn\u00fdch nemoc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v\u017edycky n\u011bkde propukly.  \u0158e\u0161ili se v z\u00e1sad\u011b kr\u00e1tce. <\/p>\n<p>Trh za rok, 3, nebo 6 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f s v\u00fdjimkou asi jednoho p\u0159\u00edpadu rostl. Ale d\u00e1 se \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee ty nemoci samotn\u00e9 na to m\u011bly vliv jenom velmi mal\u00fd. Ten r\u016fst byl d\u00e1n t\u00edm, \u017ee se to odehr\u00e1valo na b\u00fd\u010d\u00edm trhu.<\/p>\n<p>T\u0159eba pr\u00e1v\u011b prase\u010d\u00ed ch\u0159ipka se odehr\u00e1vala v roce 2009. Kdy se trh zotavoval z toho velk\u00e9ho propadu. Tak\u017ee ten n\u00e1vrat ani r\u016fst ur\u010dit\u011b nesouvisel s tou nemoc\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Na druhou stranu tam nebyl ani n\u011bjak\u00fd pokles zp\u016fsoben\u00fd nemoc\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee ty vlny, kter\u00e9 to zp\u016fsobuje, a kter\u00e9 jsme t\u0159eba vid\u011bli v pond\u011bl\u00ed, kde ten pohyb pond\u011bln\u00ed na trz\u00edch byl o tro\u0161i\u010dku v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e co bylo t\u0159eba v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch zvykem. <\/p>\n<p>Na druhou stranu 1,5 % pohyb na trhu nen\u00ed tak\u00e9 nic v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e9ho. <\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9. <\/p>\n<p>Kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b podobn\u00e9 v\u011bci m\u016f\u017eou d\u011blat n\u011bjak\u00e9 vlny. M\u016f\u017eeme se setkat s t\u00edm, \u017ee n\u011bjak\u00e9 krize, i kdy\u017e si nemysl\u00edm, \u017ee by to byl p\u0159\u00edpad koronaviru, podobn\u00e9 v\u011bci mohou vyvolat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pokles.<\/p>\n<p>A pak m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt t\u0159eba p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k n\u00e1kupu.<\/p>\n<p>Ale dlouhodob\u00fd vliv podobn\u00fdch v\u011bc\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude mal\u00fd. <\/p>\n<p>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b je tu v\u017edycky mal\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee dojde k tomu, \u017ee vir vymkne z rukou. Dojde k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu z\u00e1sahu populace. Ale ta pravd\u011bpodobnost n\u011b\u010deho podobn\u00e9ho je velmi mal\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>V nejhor\u0161\u00edm mo\u017en\u00e1 dojde k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu omezen\u00ed leteck\u00e9 p\u0159epravy. \u017de m\u00e9n\u011b budou lid\u00e9 v obav\u00e1ch l\u00edtat.<\/p>\n<p>Na druhou stranu ty pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 by utratili za letenky, m\u016f\u017eou zase utratit jin\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem.  Tak\u017ee m\u00edsto toho budou mo\u017en\u00e1 lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se budou b\u00e1t l\u00edtat, budou m\u00edsto toho nakupovat mo\u017en\u00e1 l\u00e9ky. Mo\u017en\u00e1 l\u00e9ky a rou\u0161ky a podobn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee to zase m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt vliv, ty pen\u00edze se z jedn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti ekonomiky p\u0159el\u00edt do jin\u00e9. <\/p>\n<p>Na druhou stranu ur\u010dit\u011b to nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad, kter\u00fd by n\u011bjak dlouhodob\u011b ovliv\u0148oval ekonomiku.<\/p>\n<p>A o tom je vlastn\u011b investov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Investov\u00e1n\u00ed je o tom, rozli\u0161it ty zpr\u00e1vy, kter\u00e9 se dob\u0159e prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed, v m\u00e9di\u00edch jsou \u010dast\u00e9. A kter\u00e9 t\u011bmi trh kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b h\u00fdbou. Od t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 jsou skute\u010dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9. <\/p>\n<p>Jako to jak se celkov\u011b ekonomice da\u0159\u00ed. Jak jsou zdrav\u00e9 banky. Jak jsou zdrav\u00e9 firmy. Jak\u00fd maj\u00ed v\u00fdhled na zisky. A tak podobn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>To vlastn\u011b bylo i cel\u00fd minul\u00fd rok vid\u011bt. Proto\u017ee minul\u00fd rok byl velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00fd, co se t\u00fd\u010de zhodnocen\u00ed. <\/p>\n<p>Trhy rostly. Akciov\u00e9 trhy rostly. Da\u0159ilo se i dluhopis\u016fm a dal\u0161\u00edm komodit\u00e1m. Ale pokud byste sledovali ten trh pouze optikou toho, co psaly m\u00e9dia, tak se neust\u00e1le mluvilo o recesi, o krizi, o nebezpe\u010d\u00ed. <\/p>\n<p>Rizika byla akcentov\u00e1na mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b siln\u011b. A ta n\u00e1lada byla takov\u00e1 hodn\u011b skeptick\u00e1. \u0158ada lid\u00ed naopak vyb\u00edrala pen\u00edze m\u00edsto, aby investovali a vyu\u017e\u00edvali toho, \u017ee t\u0159eba p\u0159ed t\u00edm byl trh levn\u00fd. <\/p>\n<p>A tam je vid\u011bt ten dopad medi\u00e1ln\u00ed, t\u0159eba ne tak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, zpr\u00e1vy a stra\u0161en\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee dopadat na investory.<\/p>\n<p>Ale na trh a jeho dlouhodob\u00e9 fungov\u00e1n\u00ed maj\u00ed vliv sp\u00ed\u0161e fundamenty. To znamen\u00e1 zdrav\u00ed firem. A celkov\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>J\u00e1 v\u00e1m d\u011bkuji za pozornost a nashledanou.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u00e9dia a titulky zveli\u010duj\u00ed hrozby a to m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt negativn\u00ed dopad pro investory.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":921,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[13,28],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Skute\u010dn\u00fd dopad koronaviru na investice - 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