{"id":899,"date":"2020-01-09T10:48:12","date_gmt":"2020-01-09T09:48:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?p=899"},"modified":"2020-01-09T10:50:18","modified_gmt":"2020-01-09T09:50:18","slug":"valka-investice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/valka-investice\/","title":{"rendered":"Jak v\u00e1lka ovlivn\u00ed na\u0161e investice"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/W8b2X8IUHsI?rel=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;autoplay=1&amp;modestbranding=1\" width=\"720\" height=\"405\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" allow=\"autoplay\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2>P\u0159epis videa<\/h2>\n<p>Bude v\u00e1lka? A jak to ovlivn\u00ed ty na\u0161e investice?<\/p>\n<p>V\u017edy, kdy\u017e se n\u011bkde ve sv\u011bt\u011b schyluje k v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu konfliktu, tak se takov\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky mno\u017e\u00ed. <\/p>\n<p>Co to bude znamenat? Jak se to projev\u00ed na na\u0161ich investic\u00edch? Jak se m\u00e1me chovat? Bude to probl\u00e9m? Bude to v\u00fdhoda? Co s t\u00edm m\u00e1me d\u011blat?<\/p>\n<p>Proto je tohle video o v\u00e1lce a investov\u00e1n\u00ed. Moje jm\u00e9no je Vladim\u00edr Fichtner, jsem investorem a majitelem poradensk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti Fichtner s.r.o. Za tu dobu co investuji, od roku 1991, u\u017e jsem za\u017eil takov\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch konflikt\u016f v\u00edce.<\/p>\n<p>Osobn\u011b si nejv\u00edce vybavuji 2 za\u010d\u00e1tky v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho konfliktu, kter\u00e9 u\u017e jsem za\u017eil jako dosp\u011bl\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk. <\/p>\n<h2>Ir\u00e1k 1990<\/h2>\n<p>Prvn\u00ed, to bylo v roce 1990. Za\u010dala tenkr\u00e1t prvn\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Z\u00e1livu mezi Amerikou a Ir\u00e1kem. V t\u00e9 dob\u011b si pamatuju, \u017ee jsem byl na koleji, byla u\u017e noc, podle m\u011b u\u017e bylo po p\u016flnoci. Najednou se ozvalo z Evropy 2, kterou jsme tenkr\u00e1t poslouchali na koleji na pokoji, tak se ozvala informace o tom, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010dili na Ir\u00e1k a \u017ee za\u010dala v\u00e1lka v Z\u00e1livu.<\/p>\n<p>A j\u00e1 si to pamatuju jako dneska, proto\u017ee to bylo poprv\u00e9 za svobodn\u00fdch dob, kdy vlastn\u011b jsem se s tou v\u00e1lkou setkal tak n\u011bjak jako, \u017ee u\u017e to bylo bl\u00edzko. My jsme byli sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed toho z\u00e1padn\u00edho sv\u011bta a najednou jeden z na\u0161ich spojenc\u016f za\u00fato\u010dil na Ir\u00e1k, proto\u017ee tam byly n\u011bjak\u00e9 probl\u00e9my. Napadli tenkr\u00e1t Kuvajt a vn\u00edmal jsem  to velmi citliv\u011b. Ale v t\u00e9 dob\u011b jsem je\u0161t\u011b neinvestoval, tak\u017ee m\u011b to jako investora v\u016fbec nezas\u00e1hlo. <\/p>\n<p>To, kdy m\u011b to zas\u00e1hlo jako investora, bylo o p\u00e1r let pozd\u011bji.<\/p>\n<h2>Izrael a Palestina<\/h2>\n<p>N\u011bkdy v roce 1995 nebo 1996. Do\u0161lo k tomu, \u017ee jsem investoval v zahrani\u010d\u00ed. A do\u0161lo k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu konfliktu mezi Izraelem a Palestinou. A j\u00e1 si pamatuju jako dneska, \u017ee jsem byl na n\u011bjak\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed konferenci ve Var\u0161av\u011b a vid\u011bl jsem to na CNN. Vid\u011bl jsem, jak na to trhy zareagovaly negativn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>A \u0159\u00edkal jsem si: <em>\u201eCo budu d\u011blat te\u010fko, kdy\u017e to za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 padat? Jak se m\u00e1m chovat?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Zavolal jsem sv\u00fdm koleg\u016fm do Bostonu. To byli lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed investovali u\u017e dlouh\u00e9 des\u00edtky let tak jsem zavolal jednomu z nich.<\/p>\n<p>A \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m: <em>\u201eMarku, co m\u00e1m jako d\u011blat, kdy\u017e to v\u0161echno pad\u00e1? A co se bude d\u00edt?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>A on \u0159\u00edkal: <em>\u201eNorm\u00e1lka, to se d\u011bje po\u0159\u00e1d.Takov\u00e9hle v\u011bci. S t\u00edm se bude\u0161 potk\u00e1vat dnes a denn\u011b. Nic si z toho ned\u011blej. To je norm\u00e1ln\u00ed. Kdy\u017e to bude padat a bude to padat dostate\u010dn\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b, tak budeme nakupovat. Kdy\u017e to bude padat je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce, tak budeme nakupovat je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce. Je pot\u0159eba b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraven\u00fd na r\u016fzn\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e budoucnosti. Ale v\u011bt\u0161inou to tak b\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee ty v\u00e1lky, tady ty konflikty, nemaj\u00ed zas tak velk\u00fd dopad na tu celosv\u011btovou ekonomiku.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Tuhle zku\u0161enost jsem za\u017eil zhruba p\u0159ed 25 lety a kdy\u017e si na to vzpomenu, dneska, tak \u00fapln\u011b p\u0159esn\u011b ch\u00e1pu ty lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed se ptaj\u00ed: <em>\u201eA co m\u00e1me d\u011blat? Jak se to bude vyv\u00edjet?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>V\u00e1lka v investov\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed dramatick\u00e1<\/h2>\n<p>Ale v principu v tom investov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lka nen\u00ed zas tak dramatick\u00e1 z\u00e1le\u017eitost. <\/p>\n<p>S jedinou v\u00fdjimkou. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00e1lka se projev\u00ed negativn\u011b na tom, jeho\u017e zdrav\u00ed, \u017eivot nebo majetek je zni\u010den. A kdo je uprost\u0159ed centra toho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud ale to tak nen\u00ed, pokud jsme investo\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed investuj\u00ed mimo tyto regiony a investuj\u00ed t\u0159eba do nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch firem sv\u011bta, tak na n\u00e1s tady ty lok\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikty nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vliv.<\/p>\n<p>Obecn\u011b se d\u00e1 \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee v\u00e1lky sp\u00ed\u0161e povzbuzuj\u00ed ekonomiku, proto\u017ee se zni\u010d\u00ed n\u011bco, co je pot\u0159eba znovu vybudovat. Nebo se zvy\u0161uj\u00ed n\u00e1klady na zbrojen\u00ed, a tak d\u00e1le, a tak d\u00e1le.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00e1lky b\u00fdvaj\u00ed motorem r\u016fstu akciov\u00fdch trh\u016f, ne\u017e toho, \u017ee by je vedly do poklesu. I kdy\u017e ten pokles na za\u010d\u00e1tku a n\u011bjak\u00e1 nervozita k tomu ob\u010das pat\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Posledn\u00ed dobou je, co se t\u00fd\u010de v\u00e1lek, relativn\u011b klid. Tak\u017ee nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee takov\u00fd n\u00e1znak n\u011bjak\u00e9ho konfliktu vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 dotazy. Te\u010f aktu\u00e1ln\u011b to, co se p\u00ed\u0161e v novin\u00e1ch, vid\u00ed \u010dlov\u011bk n\u011bkde na internetu, m\u016f\u017ee jit\u0159it na\u0161e emoce.<\/p>\n<p>Ale d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je zamyslet se co bude za rok. Co bude za dva, za p\u011bt, za deset, za dvacet, t\u0159icet let. To je to, o \u010dem se rozhoduje, kdy\u017e d\u011bl\u00e1me dlouhodob\u00e9 investice. A to je to co n\u00e1s ovliv\u0148uje.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee nebojte se toho, co se te\u010fko d\u011bje.<\/p>\n<h2>Bu\u010fte p\u0159ipraven\u00ed na r\u016fzn\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e<\/h2>\n<p>Ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee v\u00e1lka nebude. Nev\u00edm. To nev\u00ed dneska asi nikdo. Ale je pot\u0159eba b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraven\u00fd i na tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 a podle n\u011bj se chovat.<\/p>\n<p>Pou\u010den\u00ed z t\u00e9to ud\u00e1losti je jednoduch\u00e9. Emoce n\u00e1s budou neust\u00e1le doprov\u00e1zet v investov\u00e1n\u00ed. Prost\u011b emoce k investov\u00e1n\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>N\u011bkdy jsou to emoce negativn\u00ed, proto\u017ee m\u00e1me z n\u011b\u010deho strach. Jako te\u010f z v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho konfliktu. <\/p>\n<p>N\u011bkdy jsou to emoce pozitivn\u00ed. Ve stylu: jsme chamtiv\u00fd. V roce 2019 akcie vyd\u011blaly 20 %, 30 %. A n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed lid\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed: <em>\u201eNo to je skv\u011bl\u00e9! Tak to do nich te\u010f nastoup\u00edm, proto\u017ee to roste.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Ani jeden extr\u00e9m nen\u00ed dob\u0159e. <\/p>\n<p>Nesm\u00edme se nechat jako investo\u0159i p\u0159ev\u00e1lcovat negativn\u00edmi emocemi a strachem. A z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale se nesm\u00edme nechat p\u0159ev\u00e1lcovat tou chamtivost\u00ed, proto\u017ee ta je taky nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 zase z jin\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee na to si d\u00e1vejte pozor, proto\u017ee to n\u00e1s bude prov\u00e1zet neust\u00e1le. <\/p>\n<p>Pokud v\u00e1s zaj\u00edm\u00e1, jak dlouhodob\u011b se d\u00edvat na investice, tak se v\u017edycky m\u016f\u017eete pod\u00edvat na tr\u00e9nink o investov\u00e1n\u00ed, kde o t\u011bhle v\u011bcech docela hodn\u011b mluv\u00edme.<\/p>\n<h2>A co si mysl\u00edte vy?<\/h2>\n<p>Bude v\u00e1lka? Nebude v\u00e1lka? Ovlivn\u00ed to va\u0161e investice? Neovlivn\u00ed to va\u0161e investice?<br \/>\nBudu r\u00e1d, kdy\u017e mi to nap\u00ed\u0161ete do koment\u00e1\u0159\u016f tady pod videem a r\u00e1d si p\u0159e\u010dtu ka\u017ed\u00fd z nich.<\/p>\n<p>A\u0165 u\u017e to bude tak nebo tak, investujte sv\u016fj \u010das, energii a pen\u00edze s rozvahou a dlouhodob\u011b.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V\u017edy, kdy\u017e se n\u011bkde ve sv\u011bt\u011b schyluje k v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu konfliktu, tak se takov\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky mno\u017e\u00ed. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":900,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[27],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - 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