{"id":656,"date":"2019-05-02T13:01:21","date_gmt":"2019-05-02T11:01:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?p=656"},"modified":"2019-05-02T13:37:13","modified_gmt":"2019-05-02T11:37:13","slug":"kdy-prijde-krize","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/kdy-prijde-krize\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdy p\u0159ijde krize? A vyplat\u00ed se na ni \u010dekat?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/v-Tm2Zis-lI?rel=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;autoplay=1&amp;modestbranding=1\" width=\"720\" height=\"405\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" allow=\"autoplay\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2>P\u0159epis videa<\/h2>\n<p>V posledn\u00ed dob\u011b m\u011b velmi zaujalo, jak zintenzivn\u011bla diskuze o tom, jestli bude krize. Jestli bude za m\u011bs\u00edc, za rok, za dva roky.<\/p>\n<p>V\u0161ichni se t\u00edm zaob\u00edraj\u00ed a ut\u00edk\u00e1 jim mo\u017en\u00e1 to hlavn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Jmenuji se Ale\u0161 Prandstetter, pohybuji se 25 let v investi\u010dn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b a za tu dobu jsem tuto ot\u00e1zku \u0159e\u0161il nes\u010detn\u011bkr\u00e1t. Proto\u017ee to ka\u017ed\u00fd rok, ka\u017ed\u00e9 2 roky n\u011bkoho zaj\u00edm\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159ed t\u00fddnem jsem potkal svoji dlouholetou kamar\u00e1dku, se kterou jsem se dostal i na t\u00e9ma investic. A ona u\u017e n\u011bkolik let p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed o tom, jestli m\u00e1 investovat.<\/p>\n<p>A te\u010f op\u011bt \u0159e\u0161\u00ed to, \u017ee u\u017e bude krize, a \u017ee vlastn\u011b u\u017e se to nevyplat\u00ed, a \u017ee chce investovat a\u017e teprve na to bude vhodn\u00fd \u010das.<\/p>\n<p>I p\u0159esto\u017ee ji \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m u\u017e l\u00e9ta, \u017ee \u010dekat nem\u00e1 smysl. Pamatuji na to, kdy\u017e jsme se bavili t\u0159eba v roce 2011, kdy byl \u010das tzv. eurokrize. Ona m\u011bla tak\u00e9 strach a prost\u011b neinvestovala v t\u00e9 dob\u011b. Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me zp\u011btn\u011b tak vid\u00edme, \u017ee investovat v t\u00e9 dob\u011b m\u011blo p\u0159esn\u011b ten smysl, kter\u00fd p\u0159inesl investi\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek.<\/p>\n<p>Tak pokud se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na to, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem lid\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b investuj\u00ed, a mluv\u00edm o investorech, ne o t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed jenom obchoduj\u00ed, tak je vlastn\u011b v dlouhodob\u00e9m pohledu jedno, kdy za\u010dnete.<\/p>\n<p><strong>D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je za\u010d\u00edt.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A pokud za\u010dnete dos\u00e1hnete investi\u010dn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f, finan\u010dn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f. Ve fin\u00e1le m\u016f\u017eete dos\u00e1hnout i va\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed nez\u00e1vislosti a svobody.<\/p>\n<p>Krize m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed se vyv\u00edj\u00ed v ur\u010dit\u00fdch cyklech. Je to nahoru a dol\u016f. N\u011bkdy tomu \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 sinusoida. Jednou jste dole, jednou naho\u0159e.<\/p>\n<p>Bohu\u017eel nikdy nev\u00edte, jak dlouh\u00fd bude p\u0159esn\u011b interval konjunktury. Ani nikdy nev\u00edte, jak\u00fd bude interval toho, kdy ekonomiky zpomaluj\u00ed. Proto\u017ee to nev\u00edte, tak to nem\u016f\u017eete ani p\u0159esn\u011b na\u010dasovat.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jedin\u00e9 co plat\u00ed, \u017ee nejhor\u0161\u00ed je \u010dekat.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Jeden z velk\u00fdch investor\u016f sv\u00e9ho \u010dasu \u0159ekl: <em>\u201eLid\u00e9 neprod\u011bl\u00e1vaj\u00ed na tom, \u017ee by \u0161patn\u011b nakoupili, \u0161patn\u011b za\u010dali investovat. Prod\u011bl\u00e1vaj\u00ed na tom, \u017ee nejsou zainvestov\u00e1ni.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Nejsou zainvestov\u00e1ni v ten prav\u00fd \u010das a ten prav\u00fd \u010das tvo\u0159\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu toho investi\u010dn\u00edho \u010dasu.<\/p>\n<p>Krize jsou mnohem krat\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e obdob\u00ed konjunktury na akciov\u00fdch trz\u00edch. Krize m\u016f\u017ee klidn\u011b p\u0159ij\u00edt za m\u011bs\u00edc. N\u011bjak\u00e9 zpomalen\u00ed, ne\u0159\u00edkejme v\u017edycky krize. Krize p\u016fsob\u00ed jaksi hluboce a velmi nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Ke kriz\u00edm nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed zas tak \u010dasto, n\u011bkdy m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt jenom mal\u00e9 zpomalen\u00ed ekonomik.<\/p>\n<h2>Koukejte se sp\u00ed\u0161 na to, \u010demu \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me fundament.<\/h2>\n<p>To znamen\u00e1 ty opravdov\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky firem. To, co skute\u010dn\u011b vykazuj\u00ed. Jestli jim rostou nebo nerostou tr\u017eby, zisky.<\/p>\n<p>A vid\u00edme, \u017ee v tom dlouh\u00e9m obdob\u00ed, kdy\u017e uv\u00e1\u017e\u00edme investi\u010dn\u00ed horizont, kter\u00fd b\u00fdv\u00e1 u akci\u00ed 10 let a v\u00edce, v\u017edycky dojde k tomu, \u017ee obecn\u011b ty firmy vykazuj\u00ed lep\u0161\u00ed a lep\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledky.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159ekvapiv\u011b, i kdy\u017e se mluv\u00ed o krizi, <strong>v\u00fdsledky v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch jsou velmi dobr\u00e9<\/strong>. A dokonce i <strong>v\u00fdhledy firem jsou velmi dobr\u00e9<\/strong>. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nen\u00ed d\u016fvod se \u00fapln\u011b ob\u00e1vat toho, \u017ee by do\u0161lo k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu velk\u00e9mu propadu.<\/p>\n<p>Ano, mo\u017en\u00e1 doch\u00e1z\u00ed k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu zpomalen\u00ed, kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na n\u011bkter\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed k tomu, \u017ee bychom mohli \u010dekat n\u011bjakou trag\u00e9dii. Podobnou tomu, co v roce 2007, 2008, kdy nast\u00e1vala finan\u010dn\u00ed krize.<\/p>\n<p>Nicm\u00e9n\u011b m\u011bjme na pam\u011bti to, \u017ee i ten kdo investoval v t\u00e9 dob\u011b je v sou\u010dasnosti na investic\u00edch v zisku. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee investice i p\u0159esto, \u017ee ten \u010dlov\u011bk investoval v roce 2008, tak investoval lok\u00e1ln\u011b nebo v \u010dase, kter\u00fd nen\u00ed \u00fapln\u011b ide\u00e1ln\u00ed, tak i p\u0159esto investice splnily sv\u016fj \u00fa\u010del.<\/p>\n<h3>A jak vy vn\u00edm\u00e1te sou\u010dasnou situaci?<\/h3>\n<p>Je tady krize? P\u0159ijde za m\u011bs\u00edc? P\u0159ijde za rok nebo v\u016fbec nep\u0159ijde?<\/p>\n<p>Budu r\u00e1d na va\u0161e n\u00e1zory, napi\u0161te mi je pod toto video.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00edky za pozornost.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Doraz\u00ed krize za m\u011bs\u00edc? Za rok? Za dva? T\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed se ptaj\u00ed, mo\u017en\u00e1 unik\u00e1 jim to hlavn\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":660,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Kdy p\u0159ijde krize? 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