{"id":582,"date":"2019-02-28T15:34:55","date_gmt":"2019-02-28T14:34:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?p=582"},"modified":"2019-02-28T16:05:14","modified_gmt":"2019-02-28T15:05:14","slug":"bublina-na-nemovitostech","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/bublina-na-nemovitostech\/","title":{"rendered":"Bublina na nemovitostech? Ne tak hrrr&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/FuShXMK_ekE?rel=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;autoplay=1&amp;modestbranding=1\" width=\"720\" height=\"405\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" allow=\"autoplay\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>(Omluvte pros\u00edm sn\u00ed\u017eenou kvalitu zvukov\u00e9 stopy.)<\/p>\n<h2>P\u0159epis videa<\/h2>\n<p>Po m\u00e9m minul\u00e9m videu na t\u00e9ma investi\u010dn\u00edch bublin mi p\u0159i\u0161el dotaz:<\/p>\n<p><em>Nen\u00ed bublina tak\u00e9 na nemovitostech?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>My ve Fichtner s.r.o. nejsme specialist\u00e9 na nemovitosti a ned\u00e1v\u00e1me k nim doporu\u010den\u00ed, ale ten trh n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem sledujeme. Tak\u017ee co se k n\u011bmu d\u00e1 \u0159\u00edct?<\/p>\n<p>Poj\u010fme se nyn\u00ed bavit hlavn\u011b o nemovitostech na bydlen\u00ed. Bytech, rodinn\u00fdch domech, tzn. reziden\u010dn\u00edch nemovitostech. Na nich se ten r\u016fst, kter\u00fd jsme zaznamenali v posledn\u00edch  letech, zd\u00e1l b\u00fdt pom\u011brn\u011b prudk\u00fd. I kdy\u017e \u010d\u00edsla statistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu nehovo\u0159\u00ed o n\u011bjak\u00fdch vylo\u017een\u011b d\u011bsiv\u00fdch \u010d\u00edslech.<\/p>\n<p>Od roku 2011, kdy bylo dno, po propadech, kdy se ten trh dostal na dno, tak vyrostly nemovitosti v Praze o n\u011bjak\u00fdch 80 %. A celorepublikov\u011b to bylo n\u011bjak\u00fdch 50  %.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na r\u016fst od vrcholu, roku 2007 a 2008, kdy byly nemovitosti na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u010d\u00edslech, tak ten r\u016fst je n\u011bco kolem 50 % v Praze.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e si k tomu vezmeme, \u017ee hypote\u010dn\u00ed \u00fav\u011bry, objem hypote\u010dn\u00edch \u00fav\u011br\u016f a \u00fav\u011br\u016f na bydlen\u00ed od t\u00e9 doby doby vzrostl o n\u011bjak\u00fdch 80 %, nebo a\u017e 100 %, tak ten r\u016fst vlastn\u011b nen\u00ed tak dramatick\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Je hodn\u011b dan\u00fd t\u00edm, \u017ee lid\u00e9 si v\u00edce mohli p\u016fj\u010dovat, d\u00edky n\u00edzk\u00fdm sazb\u00e1m, t\u00edm mohli v\u00edce nakupovat nemovitosti.<\/p>\n<h3>Nemovitosti maj\u00ed sv\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00e1 specifika<\/h3>\n<p>Narozd\u00edl od akci\u00ed nebo Bitcoinu, nen\u00ed tak snadn\u00e9 je prodat.<\/p>\n<p>Prost\u011b Bitcoin nebo akcie prod\u00e1te hned.<br \/>\nNemovitosti, to si v\u011bt\u0161inou po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b rozmysl\u00edte, a tud\u00ed\u017e ten trh nen\u00ed tak rychl\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed k tomu, alespo\u0148 v \u010cech\u00e1ch, kde nen\u00ed takov\u00e1 tradice ty nemovitosti vym\u011b\u0148ovat jako t\u0159eba v Americe, nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed k takov\u00fdm prudk\u00fdm v\u00fdkyv\u016fm. Pokud nejsou n\u011bjak\u00e9 jin\u00e9 d\u016fvody, jako t\u0159eba krize, kter\u00e1 vedla k dramatick\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed t\u0159eba o n\u011bjak\u00fdch a\u017e 20 % z cen nemovitost\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Dal\u0161\u00ed v\u011bc je, \u017ee nemovitosti jsou hodn\u011b specifick\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed hodn\u011b na lokalit\u011b, a na konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed nemovitosti a ty ceny a v\u00fdvoje cen se m\u016f\u017eou hodn\u011b li\u0161it. To, co se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 o cel\u00e9m trhu, nemus\u00ed platit o konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch nemovitostech.<\/p>\n<h3>Co to v\u0161echno znamen\u00e1?<\/h3>\n<p>V dne\u0161n\u00ed situaci, kdy jsme bl\u00edzko vrcholu hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho cyklu, nelze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee by ceny nemovitost\u00ed d\u00e1le dramaticky rostly. <\/p>\n<p>Sazby se v\u00fdrazn\u011b sni\u017eovat nebudou. Tak\u017ee na levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, dostupn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bydlen\u00ed to tak\u00e9 nevypad\u00e1.<br \/>\nNav\u00edc \u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka vlastn\u011b za\u010dala proti tomu d\u011blat ur\u010dit\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, aby se ten trh nep\u0159eh\u0159\u00edval.<\/p>\n<p>To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee asi nem\u016f\u017eeme o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee by ceny nemovitost\u00ed v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch letech prudce rostly.<\/p>\n<p>Na druhou stranu, ani ten sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, \u017ee ceny nemovitost\u00ed dramaticky klesnou, nen\u00ed zas tak pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd. <\/p>\n<p>Nen\u00ed nemo\u017en\u00fd, ale i kdyby p\u0159i\u0161la recese, tak to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee lid\u00e9 za\u010dnou v panice nemovitosti prod\u00e1vat, a vy si je koup\u00edte levn\u011bji. Mnohem sp\u00ed\u0161e \u0159ada t\u011bch lid\u00ed vy\u010dk\u00e1. Kdy\u017e ceny nemovitost\u00ed padaj\u00ed, tak \u0159ada lid\u00ed vy\u010dk\u00e1v\u00e1 a neprod\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>A ten trh sp\u00ed\u0161e zamrzne.<br \/>\nNajednou nejsou p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 prod\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed.<br \/>\nTak\u017ee tomu, kdo by \u010dekal a\u017e p\u0159ijde krize a ceny nemovitost\u00ed klesnou, se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t, \u017ee se nedo\u010dk\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Anebo se do\u010dk\u00e1 jen v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b situace, \u017ee p\u0159ijde opravdu t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 krize.<\/p>\n<p>Ale pak samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i probl\u00e9m s poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fav\u011br\u016f, a dal\u0161\u00edmi v\u011bcmi.<\/p>\n<p>To znamen\u00e1, spol\u00e9hat se na to, \u017ee ceny nemovitost\u00ed prudce porostou d\u00e1l nebo naopak prudce klesnou, \u00fapln\u011b nelze.<\/p>\n<p>Ten nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je, \u017ee bude doch\u00e1zet k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu zpomalen\u00ed r\u016fstu, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b n\u011bjak\u00e9 stagnaci.<\/p>\n<p>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b n\u011bjak\u00fdch krizov\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f, typu dal\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 krize, m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k tomu, \u017ee ceny nemovitost\u00ed i o n\u011bco poklesnou, ale jak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, ur\u010dit\u011b bych na to nespol\u00e9hal.<\/p>\n<p>V dne\u0161n\u00ed dob\u011b, a specificky to plat\u00ed v Praze, nen\u00ed nijak zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 vz\u00edt pr\u016fm\u011brnou nemovitost a pronaj\u00edmat j\u00ed.<br \/>\nN\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed na\u0161i klienti se nemovitost\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b zbavuj\u00ed.<br \/>\nProto\u017ee zji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed, \u017ee ten v\u00fdnos z pron\u00e1jmu, nen\u00ed tak zaj\u00edmav\u00fd vzhledem k tomu, jakou pr\u00e1ci s t\u011bmi nemovitostmi maj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Prost\u011b.<br \/>\nO nemovitost se mus\u00edte starat.<br \/>\nMus\u00edte \u0159e\u0161it n\u00e1jemn\u00edky,smlouvy kolem toho, dan\u011b a tak d\u00e1le.<br \/>\nM\u00e1 to svoje \u010dasov\u00e9 n\u00e1klady, a ne ka\u017ed\u00e9mu se pak vyplat\u00ed to vlastn\u011b d\u011blat.<\/p>\n<p>Koupit pr\u016fm\u011brnou nemovitost a pronaj\u00edmat j\u00ed, v dne\u0161n\u00ed dob\u011b nen\u00ed nijak zaj\u00edmav\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Ale to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee na trhu nejsou zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti. \u017de nem\u00e1 smysl m\u00edt o\u010di otev\u0159en\u00e9 a sledovat trh. A pokud n\u011bjakou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost uvid\u00edte, tak j\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edt.<\/p>\n<p>D\u011bkuji za pozornost. A\u0165 se da\u0159\u00ed. Na shledanou.<\/p>\n<h3>Jak se d\u00edv\u00e1te na trh s nemovitostmi vy?<\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ned\u00e1vno jsem mluvil na t\u00e9ma investi\u010dn\u00edch bublin a p\u0159i\u0161el mi dotaz, jestli takov\u00e1 bublina nen\u00ed i u nemovitost\u00ed.<br \/>\nPoj\u010fme se tedy na tento investi\u010dn\u00ed trh pod\u00edvat st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00fdm analytick\u00fdm pohledem.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":584,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[17],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bublina na nemovitostech? Ne tak hrrr... - InvestGuru.cz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/bublina-na-nemovitostech\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bublina na nemovitostech? 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