{"id":1532,"date":"2020-12-07T11:09:51","date_gmt":"2020-12-07T10:09:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?p=1532"},"modified":"2022-03-31T11:07:25","modified_gmt":"2022-03-31T09:07:25","slug":"investice-za-vodou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/investice-za-vodou\/","title":{"rendered":"Bu\u010fte se sv\u00fdmi investicemi za vodou"},"content":{"rendered":"

Investovat \u00faspory do akci\u00ed ekonomiky, ve kter\u00e9 jste z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u00fdd\u011ble\u010dn\u011b \u010dinn\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt stejn\u00fd efekt, jako kdy\u017e si na lodi uv\u00e1\u017eete z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 lano kolem r\u00e1hna vlastn\u00edho st\u011b\u017en\u011b.<\/p>\n

To sice, spadnete-li do vody pouze vy, na 100% spln\u00ed sv\u016fj \u00fa\u010del, probl\u00e9m ov\u0161em nast\u00e1v\u00e1 ve chv\u00edli, kdy jde ke dnu cel\u00e1 lo\u010f.<\/p>\n

Proto je lep\u0161\u00ed, m\u00edt sv\u00e9 voln\u00e9 prost\u0159edky investov\u00e1ny v akci\u00edch ekonomik, kter\u00e9 jsou svou povahou jednak stabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a z\u00e1rove\u0148 nemaj\u00ed vliv na va\u0161e podnikatelsk\u00e9 anebo pracovn\u00ed aktivity.<\/p>\n

Levn\u00e1 Evropa neznamen\u00e1 nutn\u011b v\u00fdhodu<\/h2>\n

Bav\u00edme se o akci\u00edch, tak\u017ee je v prv\u00e9 \u0159ad\u011b t\u0159eba vz\u00edt v potaz, \u017ee takov\u00e9 investice maj\u00ed nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed efekt v obdob\u00ed deseti a v\u00edce let. Proto je t\u0159eba sledovat, jak se ceny akci\u00ed vyv\u00edj\u00ed v tomto \u010dasov\u00e9m horizontu.<\/p>\n

Za posledn\u00edch 10 let \u201ena\u0161e\u201d evropsk\u00e9 akcie p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b \u010desk\u00e9 akcie v\u00fdrazn\u011b zaost\u00e1valy. Americk\u00e9 akcie rostly podstatn\u011b rychlej\u0161\u00edm tempem.<\/p>\n

Po celou dobu dominance americk\u00fdch akci\u00ed platilo, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 akcie byly podstatn\u011b levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z hlediska tr\u017en\u00edch fundament\u016f (P\/E). To \u017ee jsou Evropsk\u00e9 akcie levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee porostou rychleji.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Evropsk\u00e9 akcie za 10 let rostly tempem 6,9 % p.a., americk\u00e9 16,07 % p.a., \u010desk\u00e9 jen 2,03 p.a. (zdroj Morningstar ke 30. 9. 2020)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Svou roli sehr\u00e1lo n\u011bkolik faktor\u016f. Americk\u00e1 ekonomika se mnohem d\u0159\u00edve oklepala z\u00a0finan\u010dn\u00ed krize v\u00a0roce 2008. D\u016fvodem byla nap\u0159\u00edklad rychlej\u0161\u00ed a jednozna\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed reakce FEDu. V\u00a0posledn\u00edch letech nav\u00edc rostly technologick\u00e9 akcie, kter\u00e9 z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti s\u00eddl\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0USA.<\/p>\n

Naproti tomu v Evrop\u011b dominantn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed sektor st\u00e1le pokulh\u00e1v\u00e1. \u0158ada evropsk\u00fdch bank se st\u00e1le pln\u011b nevzpamatovala z\u00a0minul\u00e9 krize. P\u0159\u00edkladem je Deutsche Bank, jeji\u017e finan\u010dn\u00ed zdrav\u00ed se na str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch novin \u0159e\u0161\u00ed pravideln\u011b a a na s\u00edle mu ur\u010dit\u011b nep\u0159idala ani ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 af\u00e9ra (11\/2018) t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se pran\u00ed \u0161pinav\u00fdch pen\u011bz gigantick\u00fdch rozm\u011br\u016f.<\/p>\n

Zisky firem v USA rostou v Evrop\u011b stagnuj\u00ed<\/h2>\n
\n

Jedn\u00edm z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch faktor\u016f vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdnosu americk\u00fdch akci\u00ed je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee z\u00e1mo\u0159sk\u00e9 firmy oproti evropsk\u00fdm vykazuj\u00ed v posledn\u00edch deseti letech podstatn\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst zisk\u016f.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco zisky v\u00a0USA se od finan\u010dn\u00ed krize v\u00edce ne\u017e zdvojn\u00e1sobily (i po leto\u0161n\u00edm z\u00e1sahu opat\u0159en\u00edmi proti pandemii), zisky evropsk\u00fdch firem se nyn\u00ed nach\u00e1zej\u00ed bl\u00edzko \u00farovn\u00edm ze dna minul\u00e9 krize.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1v\u011b r\u016fst zisk\u016f je z\u00e1kladn\u00edm motorem r\u016fstu akci\u00ed. Proto rostly americk\u00e9 akcie rychleji. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace nenazna\u010duje, \u017ee v tomto sm\u011bru dojde na evropsk\u00e9m trhu v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b k z\u00e1sadn\u00edmu zlep\u0161en\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V Americe je nav\u00edc i p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed z hlediska spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9ho chov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch motor\u016f v\u0161ech ekonomik.<\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno – ochota Ameri\u010dan\u016f \u201eutr\u00e1cet\u201c je mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e je tomu v Evrop\u011b.<\/p>\n

USA nab\u00edz\u00ed voln\u00fd trh a stabiln\u00ed v\u00fdnos<\/h2>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed skute\u010dnost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 op\u011bt hovo\u0159\u00ed v neprosp\u011bch evropsk\u00e9ho portfolia, je mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed orientace americk\u00fdch firem na akcion\u00e1\u0159e a to hned ze dvou d\u016fvod\u016f.<\/p>\n

Prvn\u00edm je mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ochota propou\u0161t\u011bt, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b hledat dal\u0161\u00ed \u00faspory a zachovat st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 dividendy.<\/p>\n

Druh\u00fdm je pak stabiln\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161e v\u00fdnos\u016f z dividend, kter\u00e9 na rozd\u00edl od evropsk\u00fdch akci\u00ed nejsou tolik ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1ny hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti zpravidla vypl\u00e1cej\u00ed ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed dividendy v pravideln\u00fdch intervalech, zat\u00edmco evropsk\u00e9 pov\u011bt\u0161inou podle v\u00fd\u0161e dosa\u017een\u00e9ho zisku. V USA je udr\u017een\u00ed dividendy br\u00e1no d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd ukazatel zdrav\u00ed firmy.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed debat, \u017ee pro dlouhodob\u00e9 investov\u00e1n\u00ed je mnohem p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prvn\u00ed varianta.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed argumenty najdete v \u010dl\u00e1nku 3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d Dolar a ne Koruna?<\/h2>\n

Op\u011bt m\u016f\u017eeme pou\u017e\u00edt p\u0159irovn\u00e1n\u00ed \u201e\u010d\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed lo\u010f, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed stabilita\u201d. Pr\u00e1v\u011b stabilita je z hlediska ochrany \u00faspor a investic kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm faktorem.<\/p>\n

S\u00edla m\u011bny odpov\u00edd\u00e1 schopnosti ekonomiky ust\u00e1t bez v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dlouhodob\u00fdch v\u00fdkyv\u016f jednotliv\u00e1 krizov\u00e1 obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jak jsme se mohli p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit letos v b\u0159eznu, americk\u00fd dolarov\u00fd tanker i na rozbou\u0159en\u00e9m covidov\u00e9m mo\u0159i s bezm\u00e1la \u010dtvrtmili\u00f3nem ob\u011bt\u00ed neztratil na s\u00edle.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco \u010deskou korunovou koc\u00e1bku doslova smetla druh\u00e1 vlna s necel\u00fdmi t\u0159emi tis\u00edcovkami mrtv\u00fdch (v p\u0159epo\u010dtu na obyvatele je to oproti USA polovi\u010dn\u00ed po\u010det). \u010cesk\u00e1 koruna spolu s\u00a0poklesem trhu podstatn\u011b oslabovala. Pokud by nedo\u0161lo k\u00a0rychl\u00e9mu n\u00e1vratu a uklidn\u011bn\u00ed, mohli bychom \u010dekat jej\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Dolar je prost\u011b na pomysln\u00e9m vrcholu m\u011bnov\u00e9 pyramidy, a pokud by za\u010dal kolabovat, zas\u00e1hne to s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed v\u0161echny.<\/p>\n

M\u011bny ale kol\u00edsaj\u00ed i v klidn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u010dasech. Proto do nich nikdy nedoporu\u010dujeme d\u00e1vat pen\u00edze jen tak. V portfoli\u00edch na\u0161ich klient\u016f m\u00e1me dolary pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee investujeme do americk\u00e9ho akciov\u00e9ho trhu.<\/p>\n

Nechceme spekulovat na to, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e1 m\u011bna bude r\u016fst. Hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem investice v\u00a0ciz\u00ed m\u011bn\u011b je chr\u00e1nit n\u00e1s pro p\u0159\u00edpad opravdu \u010dern\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00fd by byl spojen s kolapsem dom\u00e1c\u00ed m\u011bny.<\/p>\n

Bu\u010f patriot, investuj za mo\u0159em<\/h2>\n

M\u00e1me r\u00e1di \u010ceskou republiku. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b skute\u010dnost je takov\u00e1, \u017ee \u010desk\u00e9 investice do \u010desk\u00fdch akci\u00ed v\u00e1m v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b propadu na\u0161\u00ed ekonomiky \u00faspory neochr\u00e1n\u00ed. Ruku v ruce s propadem ekonomiky toti\u017e poklesne tak\u00e9 hodnota \u010desk\u00e9 m\u011bny.<\/p>\n

A p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm lok\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd kolaps ohroz\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b i Va\u0161e podnik\u00e1n\u00ed, nebo p\u0159\u00edjmy ze zam\u011bstn\u00e1n\u00ed. D\u00edky na\u0161\u00ed siln\u00e9 vazb\u011b na Evropu nen\u00ed investice do evropsk\u00fdch akci\u00ed dostate\u010dnou ochranou.<\/p>\n

Je proto mnohem bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sm\u011b\u0159ovat prost\u0159edky na dlouhodob\u00e9 investice do americk\u00fdch akci\u00ed, kter\u00fdch se lok\u00e1ln\u00ed krize nedotknou.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chra\u0148te sv\u00e9 \u00faspory proti m\u00edstn\u00edm bou\u0159\u00edm<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1597,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[26,40],"yoast_head":"\nBu\u010fte se sv\u00fdmi investicemi za vodou - InvestGuru.cz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/investice-za-vodou\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bu\u010fte se sv\u00fdmi investicemi za vodou\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Chra\u0148te sv\u00e9 \u00faspory proti m\u00edstn\u00edm bou\u0159\u00edm\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/investice-za-vodou\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InvestGuru.cz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Fichtner-sro-185375650667\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-12-07T10:09:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-03-31T09:07:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/investice-za-vodou-social.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"523\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Napsal(a)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Odhadovan\u00e1 doba \u010dten\u00ed\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minut\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/investice-za-vodou\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/investice-za-vodou\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/4d8985f26302181f017af803fa3328d4\"},\"headline\":\"Bu\u010fte se sv\u00fdmi investicemi za vodou\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-12-07T10:09:51+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-03-31T09:07:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/investice-za-vodou\/\"},\"wordCount\":1083,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/investice-za-vodou\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/investice-za-vodou-blog.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"akcie\",\"USA\"],\"articleSection\":[\"\u010cl\u00e1nky\"],\"inLanguage\":\"cs\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/investice-za-vodou\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/investice-za-vodou\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/investice-za-vodou\/\",\"name\":\"Bu\u010fte se sv\u00fdmi investicemi za vodou - 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