﻿{"id":1383,"date":"2020-09-22T13:00:43","date_gmt":"2020-09-22T11:00:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?p=1383"},"modified":"2022-03-31T11:29:46","modified_gmt":"2022-03-31T09:29:46","slug":"americke-akcie-bublina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/americke-akcie-bublina\/","title":{"rendered":"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>V posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch vid\u00edme, \u017ee trhy sp\u00ed\u0161 rostou. Alespo\u0148 ty americk\u00e9, kter\u00e9 sledujeme my. Index S&amp;P 500 je bl\u00edzko vrcholu a v srpnu dokonce p\u0159ekonal sv\u00e1 maxima, kter\u00e1 jsme vid\u011bli na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1399\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1399\" style=\"width: 960px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1399 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-20200922.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-20200922.png 960w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-20200922-300x122.png 300w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-20200922-768x311.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1399\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Zdroj Finviz<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Nen\u00ed to n\u011bjak\u00e1 bublina? V\u017edy\u0165 ekonomiky nejsou \u00fapln\u011b v po\u0159\u00e1dku a p\u0159ed n\u00e1mi je velk\u00e1 nejistota ohledn\u011b druh\u00e9 vlny COVID-19.<\/p>\n<h2>P\u0159\u00ed\u010diny r\u016fstu cen akci\u00ed v l\u00e9t\u011b 2020<\/h2>\n<p>Pro za\u010d\u00e1tek je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee nerostou v\u0161echny akcie. D\u00edv\u00e1me se na index S&amp;P 500. Tedy 500 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch akci\u00ed v Americe. V indexu v\u00e1\u017een\u00fdch tr\u017en\u00ed kapitalizac\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee akcie, kter\u00e9 jsou velk\u00e9, maj\u00ed v indexu v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1hu. Kdybychom se d\u00edvali na podobn\u00fd index, ale rovnov\u00e1\u017en\u011b v\u00e1\u017een\u00fd, tak bychom nevid\u011bli takov\u00fd r\u016fst.<\/p>\n<p>Za r\u016fstem stoj\u00ed velk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti a z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti tak\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n<p>Technologie vede hlavn\u011b d\u00edky koronaviru. Ten dotla\u010dil \u0159adu spole\u010dnost\u00ed k digitalizaci. \u0158ada lid\u00ed si uv\u011bdomila, \u017ee technologie budou st\u00e1le v\u00edce sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed na\u0161ich \u017eivot\u016f. A to je vlastn\u011b to, co \u017eene akcie vzh\u016fru.<\/p>\n<p>Pochopiteln\u011b ne v\u0161em se da\u0159\u00ed podobn\u011b jako technologick\u00fdm akci\u00edm.<\/p>\n<h3>Dividendov\u00e9 akcie z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v pozad\u00ed<\/h3>\n<p>Pod\u00edvejme se t\u0159eba na dividendov\u00e9 akcie, kter\u00e9, dle n\u00e1s, je rozumn\u00e9 z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska m\u00edt ve sv\u00e9m portfoliu. Ty jsou st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b kolem 10 % pod hodnotami z po\u010d\u00e1tku roku. Vyj\u00e1d\u0159eno v korun\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>Proto\u017ee zkr\u00e1tka technologick\u00fdch titul\u016f je mezi t\u011bmi dividendov\u00fdmi m\u00e9n\u011b. Tak\u017ee tento \u201etradi\u010dn\u00ed\u201c segment, kter\u00fd odol\u00e1val ve finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi 2007-2009, por\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed modern\u00ed dravci.<\/p>\n<p>Je proto d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee roste jen n\u011bco. Rostou firmy, u kter\u00fdch se d\u00e1 \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee ze situace na za\u010d\u00e1tku 2020 sp\u00ed\u0161e profituj\u00ed, ne\u017e na n\u00ed trat\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>To neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee tento r\u016fst technologick\u00fdch firem bude trvat do nekone\u010dna. Neznamen\u00e1 to ani, \u017ee s p\u0159\u00edchodem dal\u0161\u00ed vlny koronaviru, nehroz\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd propad.<\/p>\n<h3>D\u016fvody pro r\u016fst nejsou st\u00e1l\u00e9<\/h3>\n<p>V\u00fdvoj cen akci\u00ed n\u00e1m \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, co si mysl\u00ed trh o aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed situaci. Pro\u010d jsou akcie vysoko. Nebo pro\u010d jsou americk\u00e9 akcie jako celek nad sv\u00fdmi maximy.<\/p>\n<p>Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee takov\u00e9 d\u016fvody budou trvat nav\u017edy. Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee ve\u0161ker\u00fd r\u016fst, kter\u00fd pozorujeme u t\u011bchto spole\u010dnost\u00ed, je zdrav\u00fd a udr\u017eiteln\u00fd. A rozhodn\u011b to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt za p\u00e1r m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f propad, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zase o des\u00edtky procent dol\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>V Evrop\u011b je situace jin\u00e1. Tady nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt o \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 bublin\u011b ani \u0159e\u010d. Evropsk\u00e9 akcie jsou st\u00e1le hluboko pod sv\u00fdmi vrcholy. T\u011bch d\u016fvod\u016f je n\u011bkolik, ale z\u016fsta\u0148me u toho, o kter\u00e9m jsme se bavili. Na evropsk\u00e9m trhu je prost\u011b men\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl technologick\u00e9ho sektoru.<\/p>\n<h3>Na trhu panuje pozitivn\u00ed n\u00e1lada<\/h3>\n<p>Tolik pohled do minulosti na to, co se na trhu stalo. Jak\u00e1 je na trhu n\u00e1lada. A n\u00e1lada se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt pozitivn\u00ed. Trh vyhl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed, \u017ee v budoucnosti s pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed dojde k tomu, \u017ee se ekonomiky vr\u00e1t\u00ed zase na trajektorii r\u016fstu.<\/p>\n<p>Nap\u0159\u00edklad u americk\u00e9ho spot\u0159ebitele u\u017e jsme vid\u011bli ur\u010ditou formu n\u00e1vratu k b\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu re\u017eimu oproti nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu lockdownu (americk\u00fd v\u00fdraz pro uzam\u010den\u00ed ekonomik).<\/p>\n<p>U\u017e od ledna 2020 \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me, \u017ee pro ekonomiku nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m COVID-19, ale <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=XKHmXMXKYoM\">opat\u0159en\u00ed a panika, kter\u00e1 se kv\u016fli n\u011bmu spustila<\/a>. Nyn\u00ed se koronavirus \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed d\u00e1l. To, jak se bude d\u00e1l vyv\u00edjet trh, bude hodn\u011b z\u00e1le\u017eet na tom, co se bude d\u00edt.<\/p>\n<p>M\u016f\u017eeme \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee trh nyn\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee se situace relativn\u011b rychle navr\u00e1t\u00ed a zklidn\u00ed. Pokud by m\u011blo doj\u00edt k dal\u0161\u00edm lockdown\u016fm je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee zase za\u017eijeme velkou volatilitu.\u00a0A mo\u017en\u00e1 tro\u0161ku v jin\u00e9 podob\u011b, ne\u017e v minulosti. Proto\u017ee v\u00fdvoj se nikdy neopakuje p\u0159esn\u011b stejn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>N\u011bjak\u00e9 propady na trz\u00edch u\u017e vid\u00edme v prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. S\u00e1m jsem zv\u011bdav\u00fd, jestli je to jen men\u0161\u00ed korekce a bude n\u00e1sledovat r\u016fst nebo za\u010d\u00e1tek v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho poklesu. My jsme s na\u0161imi portfolii p\u0159ipraveni na ob\u011b varianty, tak\u017ee je to \u010dist\u011b profesion\u00e1ln\u00ed zv\u011bdavost.<\/p>\n<h3>M\u00edrn\u00fd optimismus neznamen\u00e1 bublinu<\/h3>\n<p>Pokud budou v roce 2021 zisky spole\u010dnost\u00ed zp\u011bt, tak to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee akcie jsou p\u0159edra\u017een\u00e9. A \u017ee by musely nutn\u011b padat. \u0158ekl bych, \u017ee to je varianta rozumn\u00e9ho o\u017eiven\u00ed a n\u00e1vratu zp\u00e1tky, se kterou ten trh te\u010f asi nejv\u00edce pracuje.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee trhy nereaguj\u00ed jen na to, co se d\u011bje aktu\u00e1ln\u011b te\u010f. Ale je to o v\u00fdhledu, p\u0159edpokladu o\u017eiven\u00ed. A pokud se ten p\u0159edpoklad nenapln\u00ed, tak akcie p\u016fjdou dol\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Nen\u00ed to tedy n\u011bjak\u00e1 v\u011b\u0161t\u00edrna, kdy bych \u0159\u00edkal, \u017ee te\u010f to poroste. Je to jen o tom, kde je trh te\u010f.<\/p>\n<p>My se pravideln\u011b d\u00edv\u00e1me na valuace firem a ty n\u00e1m nep\u0159ijdou ust\u0159elen\u00e9. Nep\u0159ijde n\u00e1m, \u017ee by na trhu byla bublina. P\u0159esto\u017ee jsou akcie dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed z pohledu <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/ukazatel-pe\/\">ukazatel\u016f P\/E<\/a> (Price\/Earnings \u010desky Cena akci\u00ed\/Zisky akci\u00ed), nebo forward P\/E (dop\u0159edn\u00e9 P\/E).<\/p>\n<h3>Akci\u00edm v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b dominuj\u00ed technologick\u00e9 firmy<\/h3>\n<p>Vid\u00edme, \u017ee je to pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee akci\u00edm dominuje technologick\u00fd sektor, kter\u00fd je obecn\u011b dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed. Technologick\u00e9, nebo v\u00edc obecn\u011b r\u016fstov\u00e9 firmy toti\u017e sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy investuj\u00ed do r\u016fstu a nevykazuj\u00ed tak zisky.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159\u00edkladem takov\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 firmy m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt Tesla, kter\u00e1 reportovala prvn\u00ed zisky a\u017e po 7 letech na burze. U r\u016fstov\u00fdch firem je tedy d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, jak rychle rostou p\u0159\u00edjmy. Ukazatel P\/E n\u00e1m v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b moc nepom\u016f\u017ee.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Proto na akci\u00edch nevid\u00edme vylo\u017een\u011b n\u011bjakou bublinu. Hodnoty ukazatele Forward P\/E jsou m\u00edrn\u011b pesimistick\u00e9. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee zisky v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce budou po\u0159\u00e1d je\u0161t\u011b poznamenan\u00e9 koronavirem a nen\u00ed tady slep\u00e9 nad\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 typicky v bublin\u00e1ch m\u016f\u017eeme vid\u011bt.<\/p>\n<p>My s klienty kupujeme akcie ze skute\u010dn\u011b dlouhodob\u00e9ho pohledu.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee n\u00e1s, jako dlouhodob\u00e9 investory by m\u011blo sp\u00ed\u0161 zaj\u00edmat, jak\u00fd bude v\u00fdvoj zisk\u016f v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu. Nikoliv v \u0159\u00e1du m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, kvart\u00e1lu nebo nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch let, ale z pohledu des\u00edtek let. V dlouh\u00e9m horizontu nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt vliv COVIDu a v\u011bc\u00ed kolem n\u011bj a\u017e tak dramatick\u00fd.<\/p>\n<h3>Temn\u00fd pohled na budoucnost<\/h3>\n<p>Dramatick\u00fd by byl, kdyby do\u0161lo nap\u0159\u00edklad k dal\u0161\u00edmu lockdownu. To znamen\u00e1, op\u011bt by se zmrazily ve\u0161ker\u00e9 aktivity. Byl by zak\u00e1zan\u00fd nebo omezen\u00fd pohyb. Chozen\u00ed do obchod\u016f a do pr\u00e1ce tak, jak jsme to za\u017eili na ja\u0159e. To by byla dal\u0161\u00ed r\u00e1na pro ekonomiku.<\/p>\n<p>Takovou r\u00e1nu by firmy nemusely zvl\u00e1dnout ani z pen\u011bz, kter\u00e9 jim pumpuj\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky nebo vl\u00e1dy pomoc\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00fdch pomocn\u00fdch bal\u00ed\u010dk\u016f. Pak by se ekonomika mohla dostat do skute\u010dn\u011b velk\u00e9 dlouh\u00e9 recese.<\/p>\n<p>V\u011b\u0161titel\u00e9 zk\u00e1zy se op\u00edraj\u00ed pouze o tento pesimistick\u00fd pohled. A je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee v n\u011bm jsou aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny akci\u00ed ur\u010dit\u011b nadhodnocen\u00e9. A to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt d\u016fvod pro to, aby se ceny akci\u00ed korigovaly.<\/p>\n<p>A my jako dlouhodob\u00ed investo\u0159i bychom takovou situaci vyu\u017e\u00edvali k n\u00e1kup\u016fm. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b podle toho, jak by ta situace vypadala. Je to sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, se kter\u00fdm tak\u00e9 pracujeme, ale nefixujeme se slep\u011b jen na n\u011bj.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud toti\u017e dal\u0161\u00ed brut\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1sah do ekonomiky nep\u0159ijde, tak se ekonomika bude nad\u00e1le zotavovat a firm\u00e1m porostou p\u0159\u00edjmy i zisky. Ani v tomto modelu n\u00e1m z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska nep\u0159ijdou akcie n\u011bjak vylo\u017een\u011b p\u0159edra\u017een\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Ba naopak. P\u0159ijde n\u00e1m, \u017ee vzhledem k tomu, jak se te\u010f pumpuj\u00ed pen\u00edze do ekonomiky, tak to bude akci\u00edm dlouhodob\u011b sp\u00ed\u0161e pom\u00e1hat. Proto\u017ee \u201etisknut\u00ed pen\u011bz\u201c m\u016f\u017ee popoh\u00e1n\u011bt inflaci. R\u016fst cen. A to pak samoz\u0159ejm\u011b vede i k r\u016fstu cen akci\u00ed, nemovitost\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h2>Definice bubliny<\/h2>\n<p>Jen dopln\u00edm, \u017ee bublina na kapit\u00e1lov\u00e9m trhu je stav, kdy cena aktiv roste nezadr\u017eiteln\u011b rychle a do neodpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edch hodnot. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00e1 hodnota toho, co si kupujete, je n\u00e1sobn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>R\u016fst cen p\u0159ivol\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed investory, kte\u0159\u00ed pod vidinou vysok\u00fdch a rychl\u00fdch zisk\u016f bublinu v\u00edc a v\u00edc nafukuj\u00ed. Po n\u011bjak\u00e9 dob\u011b bublina praskne a p\u0159ijde prudk\u00fd pokles.<\/p>\n<p>Bublinu jsme v posledn\u00edch letech mohli vid\u011bt na Bitcoinu v roce 2017, na zlatu ve 2011 nebo d\u0159\u00edve tak\u00e9 na akci\u00edch, a\u0165 u\u017e se t\u00fdkala jen n\u011bkter\u00fdch segment\u016f nebo cel\u00e9ho trhu.<\/p>\n<p>Na akciov\u00fdch trz\u00edch si lid\u00e9 mohou pamatovat internetovou bublinu, kter\u00e1 splaskla v roce 2000. \u201eDotcom bubble\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Vznikla v 90. letech, kdy i b\u011b\u017en\u00ed lid\u00e9 za\u010dali st\u00e1le v\u00edce vyu\u017e\u00edvat po\u010d\u00edta\u010d a internet. B\u011b\u017en\u00ed lid\u00e9 technologi\u00edm je\u0161t\u011b nerozum\u011bli a bez uv\u00e1\u017een\u00ed investovali pen\u00edze do v\u0161eho, co bylo s internetem spojeno. A d\u00edky tomu rostly ceny akci\u00ed internetov\u00fdch firem.<\/p>\n<p>Ka\u017ed\u00fd cht\u011bl b\u00fdt u toho a vyd\u011blat na \u201einternetov\u00e9 hore\u010dce\u201c. Investo\u0159i tak propadali chamtivosti (jedn\u00e9 ze dvou hlavn\u00edch <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/emoce-v-investovani\/\">emoc\u00ed<\/a>) a ztratili svoji obvyklou obez\u0159etnost. A t\u00edm zp\u016fsobili vznik bubliny.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eDotcom bubble\u201c splaskla v b\u0159eznu 2000 a do listopadu t\u00e9ho\u017e roku hodnota akci\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny internetov\u00fdch firem klesla o 75 %.<\/p>\n<p>Pohled na takovou bublinu n\u00e1m m\u016f\u017ee napov\u011bd\u011bt, jestli n\u00e1hodou americk\u00e9 akcie nyn\u00ed nejsou v podobn\u00e9 bublin\u011b. Pod\u00edvejme se tedy na 3 krit\u00e9ria, kter\u00e1 by musela b\u00fdt spln\u011bna, aby byl trh v bublin\u011b.<\/p>\n<h2>1) P\u0159\u00edli\u0161 rychl\u00fd r\u016fst<\/h2>\n<p>Pokles v b\u0159eznu a n\u00e1sledn\u00fd r\u016fst akci\u00ed se ud\u00e1l podstatn\u011b rychleji, ne\u017e si lid\u00e9 mysleli. Spousta lid\u00ed v b\u0159eznu \u010dekala propady. Ty nep\u0159i\u0161ly. A te\u010f si tito lid\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed a tlu\u010dou se do hlavy: \u201e<em>Ty jo, m\u011b utekl 50 % r\u016fst na akci\u00edch.<\/em>\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Zasko\u010den\u00ed lid\u00e9 maj\u00ed pen\u00edze stranou a nev\u011bd\u00ed, co s nimi. To m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee budou honit zisky. Ale je\u0161t\u011b nejsme ve stavu, kdy by to d\u011blali bezhlav\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Te\u010f jsme ve stavu, \u017ee si takov\u00ed lid\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e1 pl\u00e1caj\u00ed na \u010delo a koukaj\u00ed na v\u00fdnosy. Ale pak je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu trv\u00e1, ne\u017e za\u010dnou nakupovat. Akciov\u00fd trh je na rozd\u00edl od zlata a kryptom\u011bn docela velk\u00fd, tak\u017ee n\u00e1zory a pen\u00edze ur\u010dit\u00e9ho mno\u017estv\u00ed lid\u00ed vst\u0159eb\u00e1. Bublina se m\u016f\u017ee nafouknout a\u017e p\u0159ijde opravdu velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed lid\u00ed a bude jich v\u011bt\u0161ina.<\/p>\n<p>My se v r\u00e1mci na\u0161eho poradenstv\u00ed pro klienty d\u00edv\u00e1me na to, jak se chovaj\u00ed lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed tendenci bubliny nafukovat. V\u00edte, oni \u010dasto nenakupuj\u00ed tituly p\u0159\u00edmo na burze, ale jdou za sv\u00fdm bank\u00e9\u0159em a \u0159eknou mu: \u201e<em>Te\u010f bych cht\u011bl investovat do akci\u00ed, proto\u017ee jsem sly\u0161el, \u017ee rostou.<\/em>\u201c Nebo jdou prost\u011b za bank\u00e9\u0159em a ten jim prod\u00e1 n\u011bjak\u00fd akciov\u00fd produkt, proto\u017ee je popul\u00e1rn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Ale v dne\u0161n\u00ed dob\u011b m\u00e1 tenhle typ lid\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b v pam\u011bti, \u017ee akcie klesly o 30 %. Ti, kte\u0159\u00ed si v\u0161imli, \u017ee akcie po tom propadu vyrostly zp\u00e1tky, u\u017e jsou o n\u011bco sofistikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h3>V\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed na ulici akci\u00edm nev\u011b\u0159\u00ed<\/h3>\n<p>Jen si zkuste j\u00edt na ulici a zeptat se lid\u00ed, co si mysl\u00ed o akci\u00edch. V\u011bt\u0161ina z nich v\u00e1m st\u00e1le \u0159ekne, \u017ee to je hazard. Akcie jsou nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9, l\u00edtaj\u00ed nahoru dol\u016f, apod.<\/p>\n<p>My se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ned\u00edv\u00e1me jen na to, co \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed lid\u00e9 na ulici. D\u00edv\u00e1me se na \u010d\u00edsla a statistiky. A t\u0159eba takov\u00fdm indik\u00e1torem pro n\u00e1s m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt, jak se chovaj\u00ed tihle \u201eretailov\u00ed\u201c investo\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed tendenci naskakovat a vyskakovat v tom nejhor\u0161\u00edm mo\u017en\u00e9m okam\u017eiku.<\/p>\n<h3>Lid\u00e9 odch\u00e1zej\u00ed z aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch fond\u016f<\/h3>\n<p>Retailov\u00ed investo\u0159i investuj\u00ed hodn\u011b do aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch fond\u016f. My mimo jin\u00e9 pravideln\u011b sledujeme statistiky p\u0159\u00edtoku a odtoku pen\u011bz do aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch fond\u016f a vid\u00edme, \u017ee z aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch fond\u016f pen\u00edze odt\u00e9kaj\u00ed. U\u017e roky.<\/p>\n<p>Ur\u010dit\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st pen\u011bz se p\u0159esouv\u00e1 do ETF. Zjednodu\u0161en\u011b to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee n\u011bkdo vybere pen\u00edze z drah\u00e9ho aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9ho fondu a d\u00e1 je do levn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho ETF.<\/p>\n<p>Ale z aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch fond\u016f pen\u011bz ub\u00fdv\u00e1 v\u00edc, ne\u017e jich p\u0159ib\u00fdv\u00e1 v ETF. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee my v segmentu retailov\u00fdch investor\u016f zaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1me po\u0159\u00e1d odliv z akci\u00ed. Rozhodn\u011b nezaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1me stav, kdy by takov\u00ed ti \u00fapln\u011b nejb\u011b\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed lid\u00e9 masivn\u011b nakupovali akcie kv\u016fli tomu, \u017ee rostly.<\/p>\n<h3>Reakce na trz\u00edch se zrychluje<\/h3>\n<p>Na grafu S&amp;P 500 vid\u00edme, \u017ee akcie rostly ze dna v b\u0159eznu 2020. Ale p\u0159ed t\u00edm prudce klesaly. To znamen\u00e1 byl tam prudk\u00fd pokles, ale pak tak\u00e9 prudk\u00fd n\u00e1vrat zp\u00e1tky. Co\u017e se na trz\u00edch d\u011bje.<\/p>\n<p>Faktem ale je, \u017ee te\u010f to bylo rychlej\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e v minulosti.<\/p>\n<p>To m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt \u0159adu d\u016fvod\u016f. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v dne\u0161n\u00ed dob\u011b je dostupn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed investovat. Nakupovat instrumenty typu ETF m\u016f\u017eete prakticky okam\u017eit\u011b. Na rozd\u00edl od d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dob. Je\u0161t\u011b deset let zp\u00e1tky trvalo t\u00fddny ne\u017e se b\u011b\u017en\u00fd investor zainvestoval, kdy\u017e cht\u011bl pou\u017e\u00edt aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 fondy.<\/p>\n<p>Prakticky to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee aktivn\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 fondy nem\u016f\u017eete rychle vyu\u017e\u00edt. A\u0165 u\u017e u p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti levn\u00e9ho n\u00e1kupu, nebo rychl\u00e9ho prodeje p\u0159i razantn\u00edm r\u016fstu. Operaci d\u011bl\u00e1te s velk\u00fdm zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm a trh je v ten okam\u017eik \u00fapln\u011b jinde.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed nafukuj\u00ed bublinu, na tom trhu je\u0161t\u011b nejsou. Proto se my psychologick\u00e9 bubliny na akci\u00edch neboj\u00edme.<\/p>\n<h2>2) Cykly na trhu<\/h2>\n<p>Druh\u00fd d\u016fvod, pro\u010d bublina m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt, je jednoduch\u00fd. Cykly na trhu. V\u011bci se opakuj\u00ed, a\u0165 u\u017e v p\u0159\u00edrod\u011b nebo i na trz\u00edch. A po r\u016fstu p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed propad. To je jedna v\u011bc. Ale druh\u00e1 v\u011bc je, \u017ee bubliny se na trz\u00edch opakuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>A te\u010f kdy\u017e se ohl\u00e9dneme zp\u011bt, tak vid\u00edme 10 let r\u016fstu na americk\u00fdch akci\u00edch. A k\u0159ivka se v posledn\u00edch letech zrychluje. To m\u016f\u017ee ukazovat na to, \u017ee je trh tro\u0161ku p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00fd.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1400\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1400\" style=\"width: 678px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1400 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-10-year.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"305\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-10-year.png 678w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-10-year-300x135.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1400\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Zdroj Morningstar<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Pod\u00edvejme se ale tak\u00e9 do dlouh\u00e9 historie na to, jak se vyv\u00edjely akciov\u00e9 trhy. Vid\u00edme 1998 &#8211; 2000 r\u016fst a pak p\u0159i\u0161el rok 2000. Splasknut\u00ed bubliny. Pak takov\u00e9 nadechnut\u00ed a zase rok 2009 a finan\u010dn\u00ed krize. To byla takov\u00e1 ztracen\u00e1 dek\u00e1da, kdy na trhu nechcete b\u00fdt.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1401\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1401\" style=\"width: 957px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1401 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-22-year.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"957\" height=\"394\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-22-year.png 957w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-22-year-300x124.png 300w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-22-year-768x316.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 957px) 100vw, 957px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1401\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Zdroj Finviz<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>P\u0159edt\u00edm podobn\u00e1 krize nastala v 70. letech. P\u0159edt\u00edm to byla velk\u00e1 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1402\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1402\" style=\"width: 846px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1402 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-70.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"846\" height=\"517\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-70.png 846w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-70-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-70-768x469.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 846px) 100vw, 846px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1402\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Zdroj Macrotrends<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Ale mezi t\u00edm byla obdob\u00ed, kdy trh rostl des\u00edtky let. Tedy ne jen 10 let, ale klidn\u011b i 20 let. Od stagflace v 70. letech byla naopak 80. a 90. l\u00e9ta ve znamen\u00ed r\u016fstu. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ten r\u016fst nebyl jen jako rovn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1ra. Byl p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00fd r\u016fzn\u00fdmi propady. Ale ty propady se relativn\u011b rychle vr\u00e1tily zp\u00e1tky.<\/p>\n<p>T\u0159eba rok 1987 a slavn\u00fd krach na Newyorsk\u00e9 burze. Investo\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed tehdy z trhu neutekli, tak m\u011bli hodnotu sv\u00e9 investice do roka. To nebyla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 krize. To byl prost\u011b propad. M\u016f\u017eeme to p\u0159irovnat i k tomu, co te\u010f za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me s koronavirem.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1403\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1403\" style=\"width: 782px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1403 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-1987.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"782\" height=\"509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-1987.png 782w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-1987-300x195.png 300w, https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/s-p-500-morningstar-1987-768x500.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 782px) 100vw, 782px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1403\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Zdroj Macrotrends<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3>To, \u017ee trh 10 let rostl, neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1 10 let mizern\u00fdch.<\/h3>\n<p>To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee na trhu jsou dlouh\u00e9 b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed cykly. A ty b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed cykly mezi krizemi neb\u00fdvaj\u00ed desetilet\u00e9, ale vid\u011bli jsme sp\u00ed\u0161 obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e1 trvala 20 let. To znamen\u00e1, my te\u010f klidn\u011b m\u016f\u017eeme b\u00fdt v p\u016flce takov\u00e9ho b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho cyklu.<\/p>\n<p>Ale nes\u00e1zejme na to. Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee dal\u0161\u00edch 10 let akcie porostou. M\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt hlub\u0161\u00ed krize. M\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt ztracen\u00e1 dek\u00e1da. Nechceme \u0159\u00edkat, \u017ee te\u010f je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee trh jenom poroste.<\/p>\n<p>Ale na druhou stranu nikdo by nem\u011bl b\u00fdt p\u0159ekvapen, kdy\u017e trh skute\u010dn\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch 10 let poroste. A za 10 let na n\u011bm bude \u0161\u00edlen\u00e1 bublina. To se m\u016f\u017ee klidn\u011b st\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>Te\u010f jsme si po 10 let\u00e9m r\u016fstu za\u017eili n\u011bjakou volatilitu. N\u011bjak\u00fd pokles. Ale akcie klidn\u011b mohou r\u016fst d\u00e1l a jejich r\u016fst m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt p\u0159eru\u0161ov\u00e1n kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdmi korekcemi.<\/p>\n<p>V principu ka\u017ed\u00fd rok si za\u017eijeme 5 % poklesy. Ob\u010das n\u011bjak\u00fd 10 % pokles, 20 % pokles. A jednou za \u010das jsou poklesy i v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed. To k investov\u00e1n\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>10 let r\u016fstu v Americe neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee p\u0159ijde bublina nebo krize.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159i pohledu na v\u00fdvoj cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta za posledn\u00edch 10 let, to nevypad\u00e1 na bublinu. R\u016fst tady nebyl nijak dramaticky.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na Evropu, tak tady to rozhodn\u011b jako bublina nevypad\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Ale je\u0161t\u011b jednou chci upozornit: <strong>Tento v\u00fdvoj neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee n\u011bjak\u00e1 krize te\u010f nep\u0159ijde<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>My nechceme v\u011b\u0161tit, co se bude d\u00edt. Ale jenom chceme uk\u00e1zat, jak se v\u011bci d\u011bj\u00ed. A co m\u016f\u017ee krizi zap\u0159\u00ed\u010dinit. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b v\u017edycky se mohou situace zm\u011bnit tak, aby krize nastala.<\/p>\n<p>Ale domn\u00edv\u00e1me se, \u017ee moment\u00e1ln\u011b to nen\u00ed tak, \u017ee bychom byli v bublin\u011b.<\/p>\n<h2>3) Tisknut\u00ed pen\u011bz<\/h2>\n<p><em>Rad\u011bji ne\u017e abychom shodili ekonomiku t\u00edm, \u017ee za\u010dneme zvedat sazby, tak dovol\u00edme vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflaci.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>To je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed nejen \u010cNB, ale i americk\u00e9 feder\u00e1ln\u00ed rezervn\u00ed banky FEDu.<\/p>\n<p>A m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k domn\u011bnce, \u017ee kdy\u017e se \u201etisknou pen\u00edze\u201c, tak to m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee pen\u00edze pote\u010dou na akciov\u00fd trh a ty budou nafukovat bublinu.<\/p>\n<p>My ve Fichtner s.r.o. o inflaci hovo\u0159\u00edme \u010dasto a varujeme p\u0159ed n\u00ed. Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed jej\u00edm p\u0159\u00edchodem jsme jako prvn\u00ed klient\u016fm doporu\u010dovali <a href=\"http:\/\/fichtner.cz\/statni-proti-inflacni-dluhopisy\/\">proti-infla\u010dn\u00ed dluhopisy<\/a> pro jejich hotovostn\u00ed slo\u017eku portfolia.<\/p>\n<p>Osobn\u011b nem\u00e1m r\u00e1d pojem \u201eti\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pen\u011bz\u201c. Proto\u017ee se pak z toho st\u00e1v\u00e1 snadno n\u011bco, co to \u00fapln\u011b nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>FED nebo vl\u00e1da prost\u011b poskytuje likviditu bank\u00e1m. Nebo te\u010f doch\u00e1z\u00ed k dal\u0161\u00edm r\u016fzn\u00fdm akc\u00edm, kdy lid\u00e9 dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed podpory, firmy dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed podpory atd.\u00a0A tyto pen\u00edze se n\u00e1sledn\u011b v n\u011bjak\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e pros\u00e1knou do ekonomiky.<\/p>\n<h3>Pen\u00edze se tiskly i ve finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi<\/h3>\n<p>V dob\u011b po finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi doch\u00e1zelo tak\u00e9 k masivn\u00edmu \u201eti\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pen\u011bz\u201c. P\u0159esto\u017ee tak\u00e9 doch\u00e1zelo ke kvantitativn\u00edmu uvol\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed, tak pen\u00edze nepros\u00e1kly do ekonomiky nijak rychle.\u00a0Tehdy na pen\u011bz\u00edch banky sed\u011bly, proto\u017ee se b\u00e1ly.<\/p>\n<p>Te\u010f je to trochu jin\u00e9. A je vid\u011bt, \u017ee t\u0159eba pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed nab\u00eddka, tzn. kolik pen\u011bz je v ob\u011bhu, te\u010f vzrostla pom\u011brn\u011b rychle. Tak to rozhodn\u011b nebylo po finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi.<\/p>\n<p>Z tohoto hlediska tu ur\u010dit\u011b infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky budou. Mezi lidmi bude v\u00edc pen\u011bz. Budou moci v\u00edce investovat do akci\u00ed na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b se do firem dostanou pen\u00edze skrze \u00fav\u011bry. N\u011bkter\u00e9 firmy t\u0159eba za\u010dnou d\u011blat na projektech, kter\u00e9 nebudou \u00fapln\u011b smyslupln\u00e9. I to se m\u016f\u017ee d\u00edt.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee v syst\u00e9mu bude v\u00edc pen\u011bz, bude to tla\u010dit na inflaci a to v\u0161echno bude tla\u010dit ceny vzh\u016fru.\u00a0Ale te\u010f je\u0161t\u011b nejsme v tom momentu, kdy by se to pln\u011b projevilo.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee ano. To, co se d\u011bje na pen\u011b\u017en\u00edm trhu tj. zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed nab\u00eddky, ur\u010dit\u011b m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k nafouknut\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 bubliny v budoucnu.<\/p>\n<h3>V\u00edce pen\u011bz neznamen\u00e1 okam\u017eitou bublinu<\/h3>\n<p>Ale to nen\u00ed tak rychl\u00e1 akce, kter\u00e1 by bublinu nafoukla te\u010f okam\u017eit\u011b. Je to n\u011bco, co do ekonomiky bude prosakovat. \u010c\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b i zdrav\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem.<\/p>\n<p>Firmy p\u0159eklenou \u0161patn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed. M\u00edsto toho, aby se spustil \u0159et\u011bzec krach\u016f a v\u0161echno se budovalo od nuly, tak firmy p\u0159eklenou \u0161patn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed a za\u010dnou zase norm\u00e1ln\u011b fungovat.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00edky tomu samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i jejich akcie porostou, proto\u017ee jejich zisky nepropadnou tak dramaticky nebo na tak dlouhou dobu, atd. Tak\u017ee to je zdrav\u00fd zp\u016fsob.<\/p>\n<p>A pak samoz\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159ijde i n\u011bjak\u00fd ten nezdrav\u00fd. Lid\u00e9 budou m\u00edt v\u00edce pen\u011bz, budou nakupovat v\u00edce akcie, nemovitosti atd. A to v\u0161echno povede k tomu, \u017ee jejich cena poroste.<\/p>\n<p>Ale na druhou stranu, kdy\u017e cena aktiv poroste s inflac\u00ed, tak to nen\u00ed jen o nafouknut\u00ed bubliny. Je to o tom, \u017ee celkov\u011b se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed hladina cen a v r\u00e1mci toho porostou i ceny akci\u00ed. Ale re\u00e1ln\u00fd v\u00fdnos t\u0159eba nebude takov\u00fd.<\/p>\n<h3>Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed inflace pro dluhopisy<\/h3>\n<p>Inflace p\u0159edstavuje nebezpe\u010d\u00ed kdy\u017e budete m\u00edt dluhopisy. O t\u011bch FED \u0159\u00edk\u00e1: \u201e<em>P\u0159ipravte se na to, \u017ee dluhopisy budou m\u00edt dlouhou dobu n\u00edzk\u00e9 sazby.<\/em>\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee v dluhopisech se v\u00e1m m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t, \u017ee d\u00edky tomu v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu objemu pen\u011bz v ekonomice a d\u00edky vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflaci vlastn\u011b re\u00e1ln\u011b budete prod\u011bl\u00e1vat. Dluhopisy jsou tedy ur\u010dit\u011b v tomhle ve velk\u00e9m ohro\u017een\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Akcie maj\u00ed tendenci proti inflaci pom\u00e1hat bojovat. Akcie jsou jedn\u00edm z aktiv, kter\u00e1 pom\u00e1haj\u00ed se proti inflaci br\u00e1nit. Tak\u017ee to, \u017ee doch\u00e1z\u00ed ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed nab\u00eddce, \u017ee se do ekonomik propisuj\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed stimuly, je sp\u00ed\u0161 d\u016fvod akcie dr\u017eet. A sv\u00e9st se na tom. A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b hl\u00eddat moment, kdy z toho za\u010dne b\u00fdt bublina.<\/p>\n<p>Ale pokud pen\u00edze na trhu z\u016fstanou a nebudou se stahovat, tak se sp\u00ed\u0161 celkov\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed hladina inflace. Tak\u017ee to nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt o nafouknut\u00ed bubliny, jako sp\u00ed\u0161 o tom, \u017ee re\u00e1ln\u00fd v\u00fdnos z investic nebude tak vysok\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Hodn\u011b bude z\u00e1le\u017eet na tom, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem budou centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky pen\u00edze stahovat. Pokud to ud\u011blaj\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00fdm \u0161okov\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, tak to samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt negativn\u00ed vliv na trhy. Nebo to m\u016f\u017ee skon\u010dit zv\u00fd\u0161enou inflac\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h3>B\u011b\u017en\u00ed lid\u00e9 maj\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b pen\u011bz a to inflaci m\u016f\u017ee dr\u017eet na uzd\u011b<\/h3>\n<p>B\u011b\u017en\u00fd Ameri\u010dan, kter\u00fd dostal od vl\u00e1dy \u0161ek na 1200 dolar\u016f, je z\u00e1rove\u0148 v situaci, kdy nedostal mzdu. Tak\u017ee mu \u0161ek od vl\u00e1dy do ur\u010dit\u00e9 m\u00edry nahrazuje pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 v tom syst\u00e9mu nejsou.<\/p>\n<p>Likvidita je trochu jako takov\u00e9 mazivo. Kdy\u017e to mazivo nen\u00ed, tak se ten stroj zadrhne. Vl\u00e1da tam olej st\u0159\u00edk\u00e1, aby stroj fungoval.<\/p>\n<p>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b bude hodn\u011b z\u00e1le\u017eet na tom, co se bude d\u00edt d\u00e1l. Kdy\u017e se ekonomika vr\u00e1t\u00ed k r\u016fstu, jak se v n\u00ed rozprost\u0159ou pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 jsou v n\u00ed nav\u00edc. A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b n\u011bkde m\u016f\u017eou nafukovat n\u011bjak\u00e9 bubliny.<\/p>\n<p>Akciov\u00fd trh je docela velk\u00fd a nafouknout bublinu trv\u00e1 d\u00e9le. U men\u0161\u00edch trh\u016f se to m\u016f\u017ee odehr\u00e1t rychleji. Jako t\u0159eba v\u00a0 private equity. Tam to samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u016f\u017ee vytvo\u0159it bubliny, kter\u00e9 hodn\u011b rychle splasknou. Nebo v sektorech, kde se to m\u016f\u017ee hodn\u011b koncentrovat.<\/p>\n<h2>Zku\u0161enosti s investov\u00e1n\u00edm pom\u00e1haj\u00ed p\u0159i bublin\u00e1ch i poklesech<\/h2>\n<p>J\u00e1 jsem se na finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy dostal v roce 2002. Tak\u017ee jsem neza\u017eil n\u00e1kupn\u00ed hore\u010dku na p\u0159elomu tis\u00edcilet\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Za\u017eil jsem a\u017e depresivn\u00edm obdob\u00ed pot\u00e9. O bublin\u011b jsem jenom hodn\u011b \u010detl, proto\u017ee to byla relativn\u011b \u010derstv\u00e1 z\u00e1le\u017eitost. Ale na vlastn\u00ed pen\u00edze, nebo na vlastn\u00ed o\u010di jsem to vylo\u017een\u011b nevid\u011bl.<\/p>\n<p>Mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee \u010dlov\u011bka v\u017edycky poznamen\u00e1 f\u00e1ze, ve kter\u00e9 na trh vstoup\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Kdo p\u0159ijde v t\u00e9 f\u00e1zi depresivn\u00ed, po poklesech, tak je po\u0159\u00e1d p\u0159ipraven\u00fd na to, \u017ee ty trhy mohou padat.\u00a0Kdo naopak na trh vstoup\u00ed v dob\u011b, kdy trh jenom roste, tak nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraven na poklesy.<\/p>\n<p>My jsme si za\u017eili poklesy v roce 2009. Velk\u00e9 poklesy. M\u00e1me klienty, kte\u0159\u00ed s n\u00e1mi v tu dobu t\u0159eba nebyli tak dlouho. A za\u017eili\u00a0 jen n\u011bjak\u00e9 r\u016fstov\u00e9 roky.<\/p>\n<p>Celou dobu na\u0161im klient\u016fm \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me: \u201e<em>Bu\u010fte p\u0159ipraveni na to, \u017ee ten trh nep\u016fjde jen nahoru.<\/em>\u201c<\/p>\n<p>A \u010d\u00edm v\u00edc jde nahoru, tak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me: \u201e<em>Pozor! M\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt i dol\u016f.\u00a0<\/em><em>N\u00e1\u0161 n\u00e1zor je, \u017ee se vypl\u00e1c\u00ed po\u0159\u00e1d na akciov\u00e9m trhu b\u00fdt.\u00a0Ale na druhou stranu v\u017edycky po\u010d\u00edtejme s t\u00edm, \u017ee p\u0159ijdou poklesy. \u00a0A kdy\u017e ty poklesy nastanou, vyu\u017eijme jich k tomu, \u017ee budeme p\u0159ikupovat. \u017de budeme tu situaci sledovat. A vyu\u017eijeme vhodn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti.<\/em>\u201c\u00a0A tohle \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me v\u0161em klient\u016fm, i t\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed takov\u00fd pokles neza\u017eili.<\/p>\n<h3>Letos se v\u0161e ud\u00e1lo velmi rychle<\/h3>\n<p>To, co se d\u011blo te\u010f, bylo hodn\u011b enormn\u00ed v rychosti, jak ten propad nastal. Ale samoz\u0159ejm\u011b poklesy o 30 % na trhu d\u0159\u00edve byly a v roce 2008 jsme je za\u017eili tak\u00e9. V\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a hlub\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee m\u00e1me klienty, kte\u0159\u00ed nem\u011bli zku\u0161enost propadu, m\u011bli pouze zku\u0161enost s r\u016fstem. T\u00edm, \u017ee jim po\u0159\u00e1d opakujeme, \u017ee propad je p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost, tak se p\u0159esto propad\u016f neboj\u00ed. Emoce p\u0159ijdou, ale spole\u010dn\u011b je zvl\u00e1d\u00e1me.<\/p>\n<p>Nestalo se n\u00e1m, \u017ee bychom narazili u klient\u016f s t\u00edm, \u017ee jsme cht\u011bli nakupovat p\u0159i poklesech. \u017de by n\u011bkdo ty emoce nezvl\u00e1dl.<\/p>\n<p>Nevybavuju si \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpad. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b u n\u011bkter\u00fdch men\u0161\u00edch klient\u016f se to st\u00e1t mohlo. Ale rozhodn\u011b ne u na\u0161ich renti\u00e9r\u016f, kde se nejv\u00edce anga\u017euji. Tam v\u0161ichni byli p\u0159ipraveni.<\/p>\n<p>A kdy\u017e to za\u010dalo padat, tak nakupovali. A n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed n\u00e1m dokonce sami za\u010dali volat a ptali se, kdy budeme nakupovat. \u017de to pad\u00e1.<\/p>\n<h2>Se spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm poradenstv\u00edm se emoce zvl\u00e1daj\u00ed l\u00e9pe<\/h2>\n<p>Vid\u00edm tedy, \u017ee i kdy\u017e n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed na\u0161i klienti neza\u017eili propady na vlastn\u00ed k\u016f\u017ei, zvl\u00e1dli to skv\u011ble.<\/p>\n<p>Podobn\u011b jsme to m\u011bli v roce 2018, kdy trh \u0161el dol\u016f o v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 %. Nat\u00e1\u010del jsem v t\u00e9 dob\u011b na to t\u00e9ma video s n\u00e1zvem <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/rebalancovani-portfolia\/\">Trhy padaj\u00ed a investo\u0159i nakupuj\u00ed<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Na\u0161i klienti v t\u00e9 dob\u011b nakupovali, proto\u017ee jsme o tom s nimi mluvili dop\u0159edu. Proto\u017ee jsme je na to dlouho p\u0159ipravovali. Proto\u017ee jsme hovo\u0159ili o bublin\u00e1ch v roce 2000, o roce 2009, o tom, \u017ee se krize d\u011bj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>O tom, \u017ee propady na trhu jsou. O tom, jak emoce zvl\u00e1dnout. Komunikovali jsme s nimi. A nem\u011bli jsme probl\u00e9m, \u017ee by n\u011bkdo ty emoce nezvl\u00e1dl.<\/p>\n<p>Proto si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee dobrou komunikac\u00ed a vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm se d\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00e1 emo\u010dn\u00ed zku\u0161enost nahradit. A daj\u00ed se pak emoce l\u00e9pe zvl\u00e1dnout.<\/p>\n<p>Ale je pot\u0159eba to d\u011blat dop\u0159edu. Kdy\u017e propad nastane, tak v tu chv\u00edli u\u017e se to nenau\u010d\u00edm. U\u017e ty emoce nezvl\u00e1dnu.<\/p>\n<p>Mus\u00edm se u\u010dit ty emoce zvl\u00e1dat v dob\u011b, kdy je to je\u0161t\u011b v pohod\u011b. Prevence n\u00e1m fungovala hodn\u011b dob\u0159e.<\/p>\n<p>Alespo\u0148 na\u0161e zku\u0161enost byla takov\u00e1, \u017ee komunikace s klienty se n\u00e1m (a hlavn\u011b jim, proto\u017ee m\u00e1me odm\u011bnu p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b ze zisku, kter\u00fd klient\u016fm vygenerujeme) v tomto sm\u011bru hodn\u011b vyplatila.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a class=\"button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.efrank.cz\/cs\/?utm_source=investguru&amp;utm_medium=blog&amp;utm_campaign=tty-20200922\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Investujte s profesion\u00e1ly<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Akcie rostou a p\u0159itom ekonomiky nejsou \u00fapln\u011b v po\u0159\u00e1dku a p\u0159ed n\u00e1mi je velk\u00e1 nejistota ohledn\u011b druh\u00e9 vlny.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":1396,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[26],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b - InvestGuru.cz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Akcie rostou a p\u0159itom ekonomiky nejsou \u00fapln\u011b v po\u0159\u00e1dku a p\u0159ed n\u00e1mi je velk\u00e1 nejistota ohledn\u011b druh\u00e9 vlny.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InvestGuru.cz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Fichtner-sro-185375650667\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-09-22T11:00:43+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-03-31T09:29:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-social.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"628\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Napsal(a)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Odhadovan\u00e1 doba \u010dten\u00ed\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"24 minut\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/americke-akcie-bublina\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/4d8985f26302181f017af803fa3328d4\"},\"headline\":\"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-09-22T11:00:43+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-03-31T09:29:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/americke-akcie-bublina\/\"},\"wordCount\":4867,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"akcie\"],\"articleSection\":[\"\u010cl\u00e1nky\"],\"inLanguage\":\"cs\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/americke-akcie-bublina\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/\",\"name\":\"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b - InvestGuru.cz\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-09-22T11:00:43+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-03-31T09:29:46+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"cs\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"cs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg\",\"width\":880,\"height\":360,\"caption\":\"Rizikov\u00e1 pr\u00e9mie na akci\u00edch je podstatn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Dom\u016f\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/\",\"name\":\"InvestGuru.cz\",\"description\":\"Vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed pro budouc\u00ed renti\u00e9r\u016f na cest\u011b k finan\u010dn\u00ed svobod\u011b\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"cs\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#organization\",\"name\":\"InvestGuru\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"cs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/ig.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/ig.png\",\"width\":600,\"height\":160,\"caption\":\"InvestGuru\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Fichtner-sro-185375650667\/\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/fichtner-s-r-o-\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCPT7GD3SrdsxmnD-sPuV3WA\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/4d8985f26302181f017af803fa3328d4\",\"name\":\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"cs\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/tomas-tyl-150x150.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/tomas-tyl-150x150.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl\"},\"description\":\"\u0160\u00e9f analytick\u00e9ho odd\u011blen\u00ed ve Fichtner a.s. Tom\u00e1\u0161 je autorem knihy \\\"10 zp\u016fsob\u016f jak se (ne)nechat p\u0159ipravit o pen\u00edze\\\", spoluautorem knihy \u201eOsobn\u00ed finance\u201d a p\u0159ipravil stovky metodik, anal\u00fdz a pl\u00e1n\u016f.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/tomas-tyl\/\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/author\/tomastyl\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b - InvestGuru.cz","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/","og_locale":"cs_CZ","og_type":"article","og_title":"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b","og_description":"Akcie rostou a p\u0159itom ekonomiky nejsou \u00fapln\u011b v po\u0159\u00e1dku a p\u0159ed n\u00e1mi je velk\u00e1 nejistota ohledn\u011b druh\u00e9 vlny.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/","og_site_name":"InvestGuru.cz","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Fichtner-sro-185375650667\/","article_published_time":"2020-09-22T11:00:43+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-03-31T09:29:46+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":628,"url":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-social.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Napsal(a)":"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl","Odhadovan\u00e1 doba \u010dten\u00ed":"24 minut"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/americke-akcie-bublina\/"},"author":{"name":"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl","@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/4d8985f26302181f017af803fa3328d4"},"headline":"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b","datePublished":"2020-09-22T11:00:43+00:00","dateModified":"2022-03-31T09:29:46+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/americke-akcie-bublina\/"},"wordCount":4867,"commentCount":2,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg","keywords":["akcie"],"articleSection":["\u010cl\u00e1nky"],"inLanguage":"cs","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/americke-akcie-bublina\/","url":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/","name":"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b - InvestGuru.cz","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg","datePublished":"2020-09-22T11:00:43+00:00","dateModified":"2022-03-31T09:29:46+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"cs","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"cs","@id":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/bublina-akcie-blog.jpg","width":880,"height":360,"caption":"Rizikov\u00e1 pr\u00e9mie na akci\u00edch je podstatn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.fichtner.cz\/americke-akcie-bublina\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Dom\u016f","item":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"3 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d nejsou americk\u00e9 akcie v bublin\u011b"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/","name":"InvestGuru.cz","description":"Vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed pro budouc\u00ed renti\u00e9r\u016f na cest\u011b k finan\u010dn\u00ed svobod\u011b","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"cs"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#organization","name":"InvestGuru","url":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"cs","@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/ig.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/ig.png","width":600,"height":160,"caption":"InvestGuru"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Fichtner-sro-185375650667\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/fichtner-s-r-o-\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCPT7GD3SrdsxmnD-sPuV3WA"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/4d8985f26302181f017af803fa3328d4","name":"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"cs","@id":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/tomas-tyl-150x150.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/tomas-tyl-150x150.jpg","caption":"Tom\u00e1\u0161 Tyl"},"description":"\u0160\u00e9f analytick\u00e9ho odd\u011blen\u00ed ve Fichtner a.s. Tom\u00e1\u0161 je autorem knihy \"10 zp\u016fsob\u016f jak se (ne)nechat p\u0159ipravit o pen\u00edze\", spoluautorem knihy \u201eOsobn\u00ed finance\u201d a p\u0159ipravil stovky metodik, anal\u00fdz a pl\u00e1n\u016f.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/tomas-tyl\/"],"url":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/author\/tomastyl\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1383"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1383"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1383\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1411,"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1383\/revisions\/1411"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.investguru.cz\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}